Morning Consult Poll: Biden 50, Trump 45
Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains his lead over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Morning Consult poll.
The poll released on Wednesday morning of likely voters in the state shows Biden with a 5 point lead over Trump, 50-to-45. Of the 11 battleground states polled, Biden’s lead is beyond the margin of error in Pennsylvania, Florida, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The lone state where Trump leads Biden outside the margin of error is in Ohio, where the president leads the former VP by 5 points, 50-to-45.
This latest poll only moves in Biden’s direction by 1 point, in comparison to their poll released last week that showed Biden leading by 4 points, 49-to-45, in the Keystone State.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Morning Consult favors Democrats by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B/C grade.
A slew of polls released since last week all show Biden in the lead, although the margin varies by the pollster. A Monmouth University poll of registered voters released last Wednesday shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters has Biden with an 8 point advantage over Trump, 52-to-44. A poll released on Tuesday morning from Susquehanna Polling & Research showed Biden with just a 2 point edge over Trump with likely voters, 44-to-42, which is within the poll’s margin of error. Biden’s largest lead in recent polls comes from a NBC News/Marist poll released on Wednesday morning that shows 53% of likely voters in the state are backing Biden’s bid, while 44% are supporting Trump.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.3 points in Pennsylvania.
The battleground polling of all 11 states surveyed 18,465 likely voters and collected data between Aug. 29 to Sept. 7. The margin of error for the overall battleground polling is between +/-2% to +/-4%. The Pennsylvania specific margin of error was not mentioned in the article.
The battleground polling can be found here.