Morning Consult Poll: Biden 52, Trump 44
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a several point advantage over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to this latest poll.
The latest Morning Consult poll of likely voters released on Tuesday shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52-to-44, among likely voters in the state. Biden leads in 8 of the 12 battleground states polled. The former VP only holds a larger lead over the president in one state, Colorado, in comparison to his lead in PA.
Biden has extended his lead in the Keystone State in comparison to their polling released in early September. The Morning Consult poll conducted in late August showed Biden with a 4 point lead, 49-to-45, among likely voters in Pennsylvania.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Morning Consult favors Democrats by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B/C grade.
Numerous polls have been released in October that show Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released last Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll released on Sunday, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released yesterday show Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s largest lead in recent polling comes from Quinnipiac University that shows the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from Trafalgar Group that shows Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state.
Two GOP leaning polls released in late September also have Biden leading the race, although their polling is tighter. A poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC, commissioned by Trafalgar Group, released last week showed Biden leading by just over 2 points, 48.1%-to-45.9%, with likely voters in the state. A Federalist/TIPP poll of likely voters released last week has Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49-to-44.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 7 points in Pennsylvania.
This overall poll, surveying 2,610 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data between Oct. 2-11, has a margin of error of +/-1.9%.
The battleground polling can be found here.