Muhlenberg Poll: Fetterman By Five; Shapiro By Double Digits

John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro

With just more than six weeks remaining before the general election, the Democratic candidates for statewide office hold leads over their Republican opponents, according to the latest poll from The Morning Call and Muhlenberg College.

In the chase for the U.S. Senate seat, John Fetterman leads challenger Mehmet Oz, 49-44, in a poll that aligns with recent snapshots in time from CBS/YouGov, Susquehanna Polling and Emerson College.

Josh Shapiro has an 11-point advantage over Doug Mastriano, 53-42, in the race for the governor’s mansion. The number also aligns with CBS/YouGov as well as a recent offering from Franklin & Marshall College.

Muhlenberg also polled on intended support for Republican and Democratic candidates in their respective state area, following the loss of one congressional seat and redrawing of PA’s 17 remaining districts. The survey found 46 percent of voters intending to support a GOP candidate with 45 percent opting for a Democratic candidate.

With reproductive rights being among the most contentious issues of the 2022 election cycle, the poll found that 3 in 5 respondents (61%) support abortion being legal in all or most cases. One in five said it was the most important issue in terms of deciding their vote, trailing only the economy (22%).

Four in five respondents said they were very interested in the 2022 elections, while just three percent said they were not interested at all.

In terms of approval ratings, President Joe Biden’s approval mark was at 43 percent, while 52 percent disapproved for an underwater mark of minus-9. Gov. Tom Wolf received a 45 percent approval mark – equal to those that disapproved.

Fetterman was a plus-3 with a 44% favorable opinion among the respondents, while Oz was also underwater at minus-24 with just 29 percent having a favorable opinion.

Shapiro and Mastriano are nearly opposites in the mirror, with the Democratic Attorney General at plus-18 (49% favorable), while the Republican state senator from Franklin County is minus-17 (31% favorable).

The report contains the results of a telephone survey of 420 likely voters in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania between September 13 and 16, 2022. Respondents were interviewed in English on both landlines (126) and cell phones (294). With a randomly selected sample of respondents, the margin of error for the surveys is +/- 6% at a 95% level of confidence. Margins of error for questions with smaller sample size will be larger.

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