November 10: Every County, Every Vote

PA Counties

Good Thursday Morning. Still recovering from a late Election Night. More coffee please.

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Top Story

1. “Every County, Every Vote” Strategy Pays Off For Fetterman

“Every County. Every Vote.”

From Adams to Armstrong. From Jefferson to Juniata. And Mercer to Montgomery.

John Fetterman began his campaign for the U.S. Senate with the belief that small towns throughout the Keystone State felt left behind. He saw that rural Pennsylvanians sensed that everything was being decided by residents of Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.

Something had to be done. (Pittsburgh-Post-Gazette)

Related

Abortion, Women And Oz’s Jersey Roots Helped Fetterman Capture Senate Seat, Analysts Say. “It all added up to a critical win for Democrats as they try to retain control of the Senate and give President Joe Biden a buffer from the House, which appears likely to fall into GOP hands.” (PennLive)

‘Stomach Churning’: How Fetterman Survived A Stroke – And More – To Beat Oz. “In a cramped, bare-bones campaign office in downtown Philadelphia adorned with a poster of the city’s shaggy-haired, Cheeto-colored mascot Gritty, John Fetterman’s top aides gathered to discuss a problem that could sink the campaign: Their candidate was getting badly outspent on TV, and they were desperate for ways to halt it.” (POLITICO)

Pat Toomey Blames Donald Trump For GOP’s Election Failures In PA. “Republican Sen. Pat Toomey said former President Donald Trump bears significant blame for the “debacle” Tuesday that left the GOP struggling to capitalize on Democratic weakness in Pennsylvania and elsewhere, and urged his party to move away from Trump’s influence.” (Philadelphia Inquirer)

  • Fetterman Wins U.S. Senate Seat. (PoliticsPA)
  • How Fetterman Toppled Oz. (The Hill)
  • Fetterman Victory Signals Importance Of Candidate Quality, Metro Vote. (The Center Square)
  • The Unlikely Victory Of John Fetterman. (The New Yorker)
  • What Many Pennsylvanians Saw In Fetterman. (New York Times)
  • Trump Loses Rick Santorum, Who Clashes With MAGA Loyalist. (Mediaite)

 

Governor

2. The Challenge Facing Josh Shapiro

Democrat Josh Shapiro won big in Tuesday’s election, outperforming John Fetterman at the top of the ticket — and even President Joe Biden in 2020 — in almost every Pennsylvania county.

But as he prepares to step into the state’s top job with an ambitious and lengthy policy platform, he faces a new challenge: navigating a state legislature that has often served as a foil to gubernatorial agendas.” (Spotlight PA)

Related

Shapiro v. Mastriano Was A Mismatch From The Start: Trump And Abortion Policy Kept It That Way. “Setting party registration aside, Shapiro, the incumbent Attorney General, won across just about every demographic and issue category, a sweep no doubt helped by Mastriano’s unconventional “Members Only” campaign strategy.” (PennLive)

Election Deniers Lose Attempts To Control Elections In Critical Battleground States. “While election deniers have so far fared better in races for the U.S. House, aligning with former President Donald Trump and denying election results did not prove to be a good electoral strategy for statewide races to control elections. ” (Pennsylvania Capital-Star)

With Poor Showing From Mastriano In Lancaster County, What’s Next For The GOP? “In text message chains and conversations with each other on Wednesday morning, some longtime Republican politicos in Lancaster County found themselves mulling an overarching question: Did the results of the 2022 general election weaken the party’s grassroots, Trump-devoted insurgency?” (LNP | Lancaster Online)

 

U.S. House

3. Big Night For Democrats

In the four most-closely watched Congressional races in the Commonwealth, Democrats went 4-for-4.

Dems retained their seats in PA-07 and PA-08 behind Susan Wild and Matt Cartwright, while securing open western PA seats in PA-12 and PA-17 with Summer Lee and Chris Deluzio. (AP)

Related

Democrats Fortify Their Blue Wall – And Electoral College Math – For 2024. “As Democrats secured key electoral and historic victories up and down the ballot in states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, they shored up their position in the Rust Belt ahead of 2024, rebuilding the so-called blue wall states that Donald Trump won in 2016.” (POLITICO)

Dems Fare Well, But U.S. House Races Underscore PA’s Regional and Political Divisions. “If the congressional outcomes affirmed nothing else, it is that Pennsylvania remains a state deeply divided, with Democrats dominating in the population centers and Republicans elsewhere.” (Philadelphia Inquirer)

Good Turnout In ‘Undoubtedly Historic’ Wins For PA Dems, Whose Margins May Still Grow. “Pennsylvania hasn’t elected two Democrats to the U.S. Senate since the 1940s, he said. Nor has one party held the governorship for three consecutive terms in almost as long. Both happened Tuesday, with a “major surprise” of multiple Democratic congressional victories in the state.” (LehighValleyLive)

  • PA-07: How Susan Wild Won Re-Election. (Armchair Lehigh Valley)
  • PA-08: Cartwright Claims Victory, Takes Call From Biden As Bognet Waits For Complete Count. (Times-Tribune)
  • PA-12: Summer Lee Will Become PA’s First Black Congresswoman. (WESA)
  • PA-14, PA-16: Kelly, Reschenthaler Reelected To Congress. (WESA)
  • PA-17: Chris Deluzio Beats Jeremy Shaffer (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)

 

Around The Commonwealth

Control Of The State House At Stake. “For the first time since 2010, Democrats in the Pennsylvania State House see an opportunity to become the majority party after the outcome of Tuesday’s general election. Democrats hold a 99-96 edge in the 203-person chamber with eight races yet to be called. Of those eight outstanding contests, Republicans lead in five of the races, while Democrats lead in three. The magic number to become the majority party is 102.” (PoliticsPA)

 

PA Dems Claim They Took Control of The State House; GOP Says Not So Fast. “Democrats are claiming they have won enough seats to take control of the state House for the first time in more than a decade, but there are some moving parts that could delay or derail their majority status.” (PennLive)

Five Takeaways From Midterm Election In PA. “While many people were sleeping overnight Tuesday, Pennsylvania’s political landscape changed in some significant — and historic — ways.” (Tribune-Review)

 

For Newly Naturalized Citizens, Voting In PA Turns Fear Into Political Power. “Participating in elections can feel confusing and intimidating, whether people fled a dictatorship or just speak a different language” (Billy Penn)

Randy Robertson To Resign As Luzerne County Manager. “Five months after his hiring, Luzerne County’s top manager Randy Robertson said he informed county council he will be resigning.” (Times Leader)

 

Opinion

7 Responses

    1. It is not the job of non party members to o police the candidates of each party. Throughout history we could say if Independents voted— McGovern would not be selected and Scoop Jackson would have but the voters are entitled to pick who they wish and live with the consequences. Oz was a good candidate who wrongly listened to knucklehead consultants instead of taking a stand on say abortion. Oz gave idiotic political answers when being direct would have been better vote wise.

  1. Josh Shapiro carried Fetterman across the victory line despite the fact the Lt Gov was always a horrible debater (he made Bartos look like William Jennings Bryan in the Lt Gov debate). Blame Trump but Shapiro was a great candidate and the voters picked duds like Mastriano and Oz.

    1. Looking back now, I think Oz gut buried during the 2-month time period in which he and McCormick absolutely went nuclear on each other, and after the primary when Fetterman’s camp moved quickly to define Oz. Oz, with no record to draw upon, or political persona, was real susceptible to being “defined”. Ultimately, a mediocre candidate, and the latest in the long line of failures by the PA GOP establishment.

      Still, your point about Shapiro/Mastriano is valid as well. With Shapiro up I believe by 14, asking for more than 10 points in ticket splitting was asking too much….at least on a state-wide level anyway, (the Fitzpatrick ticket splitting in Bucks was remarkable). Not only that, in the ticket-splitting ask, but Mastriano gave Fetterman another boogey-man to tie around the neck of Oz in addition to Trump.

  2. Ding Dong Doug needs to follow Scott Wagner and get the hell out of elective office. He is more fit to be a dime store traveling preacher anyway. Does anyone know that since the fasting and prayer route didn’t work, did they breakout the rattlesnakes and start chanting in tongues at the “victory HA HA” party on Tuesday night.

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  • When Should The Special Elections For The PA House Be Held?


    • May 16, 2023 (Primary Day) (51%)
    • March, 2023 (47%)
    • April, 2023 (2%)

    Total Voters: 173

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