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PA-8: Rothenberg Moves Seat From “Republican Favored” to “Safe” Republican

mike-fitzpatrick2Congressman Mike Fitzpatrick is starting off the weekend with some good news.

The latest update by the Rothenberg Political Report reveals that the political prognosticating group feels the incumbent holds the clear advantage. As a result, they are changing their designation of PA-8 from “Republican Favored” to “Currently Safe”.

“This race just hasn’t materialized for Democrats in this competitive, suburban Philadelphia district,” Rothenberg’s Nathan L. Gonzalez wrote.

“GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick’s standing remains very solid and Democrat Kevin Strouse hasn’t gained any traction. Back in the spring of 2013, Strouse received front page treatment in The Washington Post as one of DCCC Chairman Steve Israel’s ‘problem solvers.’ That appears to have been the pinnacle of Strouse’s campaign. We are moving the race from Republican Favored to Currently Safe for Fitzpatrick.”

“Now Democrats will have to wait until 2016 and hope that Fitzpatrick abides by his plan to serve just four terms,” Gonzalez concluded. “An open seat next cycle would be extremely competitive.”

Rothenberg’s rating for the PA-6 open seat race between Republican nominee Ryan Costello and Democratic nominee Manan Trivedi is still classified as “Leans Republican”.

Roll Call also rates PA-8 as “Safe Republican” while the Cook Political Report believes it is “Likely Republican.”

6 Responses

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  2. No surprise here although Fitzpatrick’s margin will likely be reduced by Corbett’s big expected loss in Bucks County. PA-6 doesn’t look much better for the Dems either and it is an indication that even in a situation where Republicans are going to be soundly defeated at the top of the ticket, the national mood is such that Republican Congressmen are relatively safe.

  3. Word among Dems is that when Stouse read this, he went out for a ride just to clear his head ….. and got lost again.

    Took an hour to find his way home withous his GPS.

  4. Here that?
    That is the sound of Patrick Murphy on his knees in his Bristol Borough backyard screaming out across the Delaware River “NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!”

    Fitzpatrick by 30

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