The latest update by the Rothenberg Political Report reveals that the political prognosticating group feels the incumbent holds the clear advantage. As a result, they are changing their designation of PA-8 from “Republican Favored” to “Currently Safe”.
“This race just hasn’t materialized for Democrats in this competitive, suburban Philadelphia district,” Rothenberg’s Nathan L. Gonzalez wrote.
“GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick’s standing remains very solid and Democrat Kevin Strouse hasn’t gained any traction. Back in the spring of 2013, Strouse received front page treatment in The Washington Post as one of DCCC Chairman Steve Israel’s ‘problem solvers.’ That appears to have been the pinnacle of Strouse’s campaign. We are moving the race from Republican Favored to Currently Safe for Fitzpatrick.”
“Now Democrats will have to wait until 2016 and hope that Fitzpatrick abides by his plan to serve just four terms,” Gonzalez concluded. “An open seat next cycle would be extremely competitive.”
Rothenberg’s rating for the PA-6 open seat race between Republican nominee Ryan Costello and Democratic nominee Manan Trivedi is still classified as “Leans Republican”.