MSNBC’s Up with Steve Kornacki, for instance, recently ranked the nine blue-state governors up for re-election on a scale from “safest” to “most vulnerable,” with Corbett chances featuring as the weakest of the crew.
Looking at voter trends since the 2008 presidential election, Kornacki along with NBC Senior Political Reporter Perry Bacon Jr. pulled no punches describing Corbett’s chances saying “Republican’s have all but conceded Tom Corbett as going to lose, there’s not a lot of efforts for him.”
The “Class of 2010” were elected during a strong midterm season for Republican’s throughout the nation, possibly due to different voter demographics. Up postulated that while minorities, women and young adults showed up to the polls in 2008 and 2012 in record numbers, they have decided to sit out smaller cycles.
Similarly, the Washington Post’s Dan Balz addressed the gubernatorial contests and the struggle of blue-state Republican Governors.
Anti-incumbent attitude and state specific issues rank as the top two reasons gubernatorial races are hard fought challenges. Specifically, unpopular cuts to education is mentioned as hampering the chances of many GOP governors, including Corbett.
“Pennsylvania’s Corbett may be the most endangered Republican governor, failing to make a connection with his voters,” Balz writes. “He is currently running far behind his Democratic challenger, businessman Tom Wolf, and isn’t likely to survive.”