Their latest result shows Democratic nominee Tom Wolf with his smallest lead of the cycle so far, with him leading Gov. Corbett 49.1% to 42.2%.
The GOP nominee has consistently performed much better in these surveys than in comparable polls. For instance, in July they found him down 12 points and in September just nine. Still, they are finding Wolf’s numbers stagnating and Corbett’s slowly growing.
According to Keystone Reports, Corbett’s gains are coming from Republican voters who are finally rallying behind their nominee.
Magellan weighed the results to reflect previous midterm elections which may be the factor behind the difference between this and other polls. Of course, this election will be decided ultimately by turnout and who actually comes out to vote.
As they say, the only poll that matters occurs on Election Day.
The poll was conducted by an automated survey of 1,131 likely voters in PA. Took place on October 13th and 14th and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9%.