In the latest edition of the “Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball”, the political prognosticators are shifting the PA-Gov race from “Likely Democratic” to “Safe Democratic.”
This change comes after several polls have shown Democratic nominee Tom Wolf holding onto his lead over GOP Governor Tom Corbett.
“Speaking of other Democratic takeover opportunities, the inevitable has arrived,” Sabato authors Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley write. “We’ve decided to move the Pennsylvania governor’s race from Likely Democratic to Safe Democratic.”
“The best poll Gov. Tom Corbett (R) has seen was a Republican survey two weeks ago that found him down nine points, which only reinforces our strong feeling that businessman Tom Wolf (D) will be the Keystone State’s next governor,” they concluded. “More than a year ago we identified Corbett as the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the nation, and nothing much has changed.”
Other gubernatorial races that Sabato considers “Safe Democratic” are: California, New York, Oregon and Vermont. All of which are deep blue states. Only four races are predicted to switch parties and Pennsylvania is the only one of the four to be considered “safe” to flip.
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12 Responses
Everybody except one or two already knows that until the PA Constitution was amended in 1968, the Gov. could only serve one term since the change in the 1870s.
Wow! I thought barracks had a point until Chris responded. And yeah that is absolutely true!
it aint never happened that way, govs always win wen they run for anuther term, that the way it works in penna,
Except for the time in PA history when it did not work that way.
barry slarta aint doning the right poles cuz most poles are showing goevenore corbitt is gonna win in a land slide cuz the way uit work in penna is govs always get to be gov for 8 yrs at a time and than the guy from the udder party get to be gov for 8 yrs at time and than it go back ot the furst party to be guv,
What do you think of your blueeyed boy now, Mr. Death?
Allow me to belt out a few stanzas.
Have you people even bothered to read Chris’ posts?
That’s exactly right, Tom Wolf will sweep into office and raise all kinds of taxes on the people who pay taxes with the help of a Republican controlled House and Senate.
Too bad for people that pay taxes
How much is Larry Sabato getting paid to announce the obvious? This seat has been “Safe Democratic” for at least six months.
HECTOR MARTINIZE