YouGov found 46% of respondents favor Wolf while 35% support Governor Corbett. When those who are leaning towards one candidate or the other are included, though, the margin becomes Wolf 50%-Corbett 39%.
There is little difference between these results and the ones YouGov produced in July.
The gender gap is rather large with Wolf holding a 51-26 advantage among women and Corbett edging out his opponent 43-41 among men.
In the partisan breakdown, Wolf leads Democrats (84% to 4%) and Corbett leads Republicans (69% to 12%) although the former does much better with members of the opposite party. Independents favor the Governor by a narrow 39% to 36% margin.
Liberals (88-3) and moderates (56-20) overwhelmingly favor Wolf while conservatives (69-13) greatly favor Corbett.
Wolf leads nearly all age groups with Gov. Corbett holding onto just a 44% to 42% lead among voters sixty-five and older. The Democrat’s biggest strength is young voters between the ages of 18 and 29, where he holds the 60% to 23% lead.
Finally, Wolf holds a small edge with white voters (43-38) and a large edge with black voters (68-9).
YouGov surveys are a bit difficult to get a handle on. They conduct their surveys online as part of a nationwide effort. They also don’t specify whether they target registered or likely voters. Polls among likely voters are generally more accurate. Yet YouGov’s polls were judged the second most accurate in 2012.
Altogether, in the last few weeks all matter of polls have pegged Wolf’s support at between 49% and 59% while Corbett stands somewhere between 25% and 41%.
This YouGov survey took place from August 18 to September 2 and included 3,560 interviews.