PA is Trump Country…On Facebook

FiveThirtyEight FacebookPennsylvania’s presidential primary isn’t until April 26th.

As a result, we have to take all the numbers we can get until attention turns to the Keystone State.

Lucky for us, FiveThirtyEight just produced a fascinating new map that charts the Facebook likes of each presidential candidate by county.

Under that metric, Donald Trump leads the rest of the field with 28% of the total likes. Ben Carson and Bernie Sanders each took 23%.

Following them are: Ted Cruz (10%), Hillary Clinton (8%), Marco Rubio (7%), Jeb Bush (1%) and John Kasich (<1%).

Sanders leads in the Southeast portion of the state as well as Allegheny and Centre counties, the homes of Pittsburgh and State College. Carson is the preferred candidate in South Central PA, while the rest of the state supports Trump.

FiveThirtyEight even broke the data down for some major cities, two of which were Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.

FiveThirtyEight Facebook Pittsburgh 

Sanders wins most of the Steel City though Trump has the advantage on the edges. The Vermont Senator got 38% of the likes, with Trump (20%) and Carson (16%) finishing second and third. The totals for the rest of the candidates were: Clinton (13%), Cruz (7%), Rubio (5%), Kasich (1%), and Bush (<1%).  

FiveThirtyEight Facebook Philadelphia 

As for the City of Brotherly Love, there is a clear divide between the Northeast and the rest of the city. Sanders took 40% of the total Facebook likes with Trump’s 19% taking the silver and Clinton’s 16% the bronze. Rounding out the rest of the field were Carson (13%), Cruz (5%), Rubio (5%), Bush (1%) and Kasich (<1%).

11 Responses

  1. The very root of your writing whilst sounding agreeable initially, did not work perfectly with me personally after some time. Someplace within the sentences you actually were able to make me a believer but just for a while. I however have a problem with your jumps in logic and one would do nicely to help fill in all those gaps. In the event you can accomplish that, I will definitely end up being impressed.

  2. bobguzzardi-

    Regarding Hillary, I’m pretty sure their may be other crazy right-wing conspirators thinking the same thoughts. You might want to add an extra layer of tin-foil around your head so they stop reading your mind (or you picking up on their signals).

  3. Donald Trump is Master of the Media and has flummoxed experts across the spectrum. He is not to be underestimated.

  4. I continue to predict that Hillary Clinton will discontinue her presidential campaign citing health issues which may, in fact, be real. (Or, perhaps, citing Bill’s health which may not be good).

    I think I am the only one predicting this.

  5. If you exchange Dem and R for the three candidates, you get a very close approximation of how we will vote, party-wise. Or at least, how we almost always do vote.
    In that, this is a good indicator.
    I would not look for Carson to take first in any of his counties. But I expect many of them to go GOP.

  6. I so hope the Repervlicans nominate The Donald.

    Think about it. He is a reality TV star. His companies have declared bankruptcy 4 times. And he is an insufferable asshole.

    GO TRUMP !!!

  7. I remember back in the day when PoliticsPA didn’t seem to go to such great lengths to not be taken seriously.

  8. A few years ago, Newt Gingrich purchased so many fake Twitter followers (randomly generated by some media company) that 92% of his followers were fakes.

    It’s hard to know how much of that is going on in 2016, so it’s hard to put much stock in it. Some of my staunch Dem friends are following Trump, but that’s just to track the stupid stuff he says, not because they would ever vote for him or any of the GOP candidates.

    Sanders has a younger crowd of supporters who are on more social media, so that’s more an indication of his demographics than his support, since Hillary’s older voters would be less likely to be following her on Facebook.

    Still, though, the maps look interesting.

Comments are closed.

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