PA-Sen: Bloomberg Poll: McGinty 47% Toomey 45%

mcgintyKatie McGinty has the edge in the PA Senate race.

That’s according to the latest Bloomberg Poll, which has the Democratic challenger at 47% and the GOP incumbent Senator Pat Toomey at 45%.

Among the Philly suburbs, McGinty has a 53% to 39% lead.

The favorable/unfavorable split for McGinty is 44/36 statewide and 48/38 in the SEPA suburbs. Meanwhile, Toomey’s split is 45/41 throughout the commonwealth but 40/49 in the collar counties around Philadelphia.

“In the Senate race, demographic dynamics are similar to those at the top of the ticket, although McGinty is only narrowly beating Toomey among those under 35 years old,” Bloomberg’s John McCormick wrote. “McGinty has some of her strongest showings among non-whites (+37 points), suburban women (+18 points), and those with college degrees (+15 points). Some of Toomey’s strongest groups are independents (+33 points), white men with no college degree (+30 points), and rural residents (+21 points).”

The Bloomberg Poll was conducted by Selzer & Co. They contacted 806 likely voters through landlines and cell phones from October 7th to 11th. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.

15 Responses

  1. Ida – Please. You can stop now. We know who you really are. The FOXtard Troll.

    You need to disguise it better.

  2. When are the democrats going to stop taking the hard working citizens taxes and giving them to those that will not work and sit back collecting and complaining how bad they have been treated and are discriminated against.

  3. Toomey is so gloomy. Always claiming things that are untrue and despicable, like my son does in Elk County.

  4. Has Toomey denounced Trump yet? No? That man is a profile in courage (sarcasm)

  5. I don’t know about this methodology. They purposefully oversampled the Philadelphia suburbs but then only gave weight based on age and race. Shouldn’t they have given weight to region as well to correct the intentional oversampling?

    373 of 806 LVs were from the Philly suburbs. Based on 2012 census data, the suburbs only make up 19.6% of the PA population.

  6. Yay! It looks like Trump’s destruction of the GOP is helping!!! 🙂 Hope this helps Dems take back the Senate nationwide.

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