That’s according to the latest Bloomberg Poll, which has the Democratic challenger at 47% and the GOP incumbent Senator Pat Toomey at 45%.
Among the Philly suburbs, McGinty has a 53% to 39% lead.
The favorable/unfavorable split for McGinty is 44/36 statewide and 48/38 in the SEPA suburbs. Meanwhile, Toomey’s split is 45/41 throughout the commonwealth but 40/49 in the collar counties around Philadelphia.
“In the Senate race, demographic dynamics are similar to those at the top of the ticket, although McGinty is only narrowly beating Toomey among those under 35 years old,” Bloomberg’s John McCormick wrote. “McGinty has some of her strongest showings among non-whites (+37 points), suburban women (+18 points), and those with college degrees (+15 points). Some of Toomey’s strongest groups are independents (+33 points), white men with no college degree (+30 points), and rural residents (+21 points).”
The Bloomberg Poll was conducted by Selzer & Co. They contacted 806 likely voters through landlines and cell phones from October 7th to 11th. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.