PA-Sen: CNN Poll: McGinty 49% Toomey 46%

Former state environmental protection secretary Katie McGinty smiles before a Pennsylvania Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Debate, Thursday, May 8, 2014, in Philadelphia. Thursday’s debate was taped and is scheduled to be aired this weekend on 6abc. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Katie McGinty is back on top.

At least that’s what the latest CNN/ORC poll shows. The Democrat holds a 49% to 46% advantage over the GOP incumbent.

Digging into the crosstabs, we can see which demographics support which candidate.

McGinty is ahead among the following groups: Clinton voters (87/10), Democrats (85/12), liberals (82/16), urban residents (66/29), moderates (62/33), college graduates (57/41), under 45 year-olds (55/41), non-Veteran households (54/43), women (53/41), those making under $50,000 (53/43), white college graduates (52/45), Philadelphia suburbs (51/42), white women (50/45), 50 to 64 year-olds (50/45), those making $50,000 or more (48/47) and 35 to 49 year-olds (47/46).

Toomey, meanwhile, leads with these demographics groups: Republicans (83/13), Trump voters (82/12), conservatives (75/21), central PA residents (55/41), Veterans household (52/40), white men (52/43), western PA residents (52/43), white non-college graduates (51/43), men (51/45), independents (50/43), 65 year-olds and older (49/45), whites (49/46), suburban residents (49/47), non-college graduates (48/46) and 45 year-olds and older (48/47).

This poll was conducted by ORC International on behalf of CNN from September 20th to 25th. They surveyed 771 likely voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.

5 Responses

  1. Don’t anyone (on either side) get cocky or depressed. The results are within the margin of error. I want to see polls after last evening’s debate. The ground game will be critical.

  2. “Katie McGinty is back on top.”

    Whew… that was a tough few hours since the Morning Call/Muhlenberg Poll.

    The same poll has Clinton up 3 points as well.

    The only unusual thing is that McGinty’s numbers aren’t trailing Hillary (coattails).

    But, none of these polls take into account the ground game.

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