McGinty is running second to Joe Sestak in almost every poll – despite the inside-track she has been given by the Democratic Party’s national leadership – and some state Democrats are beginning to worry, Jonathan Tamari of the Inquirer reports.
While most of the party operatives and officials interviewed lauded McGinty’s resume and intelligence, they also raised warning signs about her “flat” campaign and “generic” message, Tamari reports.
“People were expecting Katie to have a bigger impact than she has so far,” David Dunphy, a Democratic consultant based in Philadelphia, said.
They are also worried about the returns on her campaign’s spending. McGinty’s poll numbers have barely budged since she entered the race in August, though she is vastly out-raising and outspending her opponents.
Former U.S. Congressman Sestak picked up 21% in the latest F&M Poll, while McGinty managed 12%. Braddock Mayor John Fetterman was not far behind at 8%.
Many Democrats are backing McGinty to win the bulk of the 60% of the vote that is still out there, with the former Chief of Staff to Gov. Tom Wolf well ahead in the endorsement race.
In most years, McGinty would be a lock for the nomination, with endorsements from EMILY’s List, the AFSCME, United Steelworkers, PASNAP (who originally backed Sestak), and 30 local Democratic chairs, as well as Gov. Wolf – while former Gov. Ed Rendell is the chairman of her campaign.
In the year of Donald Trump and the “outsider,” however, her insider status could be a cause for concern – though Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts Democrats will win back the Senate, including PA, with Trump’s name at the top of the ticket.
Katie McGinty, Joe Sestak and John Fetterman will face off at the PA Dems 2016 State Committee Winter Meeting in Hershey tonight.