PA-Sen: Harper Poll: Sestak 42 Pawlowski 12 Shapiro 8
On Monday, we described how Toomey leads all challengers in hypothetical 2016 match-ups.
Well, Harper also polled all three potential Democratic candidates against each other. While the number of respondents was small, these are still the first numbers we’ve gotten on what a party primary could look like.
Former Congressman and 2010 nominee Joe Sestak holds a wide advantage with 42%.
Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski comes in second with 12% while Montgomery County Commissioner Josh Shapiro (who is being urged to run but likely won’t) finished with 8%.
A massive 39% of respondents were not sure, which probably indicates that Sestak’s lead has a lot to do with name recognition.
Evidence for this lies in each man’s favorability ratings. For instance, Sestak is the most well-known although 28% are still unsure of their opinion on him.
Still, 48% have a favorable opinion of the ex-Admiral (20% very favorable, 28% somewhat favorable) while 24% give him an unfavorable rating (5% very unfavorable, 19% somewhat unfavorable).
Comparatively, 58% and 57% are not sure of Pawlowski and Shapiro respectively.
Pawlowski receives a 25/17 favorable/unfavorable split while Shapiro gets a 27/18.
The sample size for the survey is 173 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania and the margin of error is +/-7.45%. Responses were gathered through landline interviews conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR). The survey was conducted May 6-7, 2015 by Harper Polling.