The PA Senate race is a nailbiter right now.

The new Monmouth University Poll has GOP incumbent Senator Pat Toomey and Democratic nominee Katie McGinty tied at 46%. Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford got 3%.

This is an improvement for Senator Toomey who was down four points in the last Monmouth survey in August.

Favorables/Approval

Sen. Toomey’s favorable rating stands at 32% and his unfavorable rating is 30%. A substantial 38% have no opinion about the lawmaker.

The survey has the Senator’s approval at 42% with 38% disapproving.

Meanwhile, just 27% have a favorable view of McGinty and 29% have an unfavorable opinion. 44% aren’t sure about her.

Monmouth also asked about the issue of taxes. By a 45% to 37% margin, voters think Toomey will do a good job on taxes. On the other hand, they believe McGinty will do a bad job 38% to 42%.

Demographics

The following demographics supported McGinty: Democrats (84/10), liberals (80/12), nonwhites (75/15), those making less than $50,000 a year (55/33), females (54/38), those 50 years old and up (51/41) and those without a college degree (46/45).

Toomey won these demographics: Republicans (83/13), conservatives (76/15), males (55/37), 18 to 49 year olds (53/39), those making more than $100,000 a year (52/41), whites (51/42), independents (50/35), those with a college degree (48/46) and moderates (47/46).

The two tied among those making $50,000 to $100,000 a year (48/48).

Geographics

McGinty’s area of strength in the state is SEPA, where she leads 49% to 42%.

Toomey, however, is ahead in the Northeast and Central sections of state where his lead is identical, 54% to 40%.

Western PA is tied between the two at 45% each.

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 30th to October 3rd, 2016 with 402 Pennsylvania residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of +/-4.9%.