That’s the conclusion of Public Policy Polling latest survey, which found Toomey with 42% and McGinty at 41%. 17% are unsure.
These results are almost identical to PPP’s findings last June.
There is quite a large gender gap in this race as Toomey leads 51% to 36% with men while McGinty is ahead 45% to 34% with women.
McGinty has the advantage with moderates (45/33) yet Toomey is the choice of independents (37/31).
There are also racial and age divides in the Senate contest.
Whites favor Toomey (48/35) while African Americans (71/13) and other races (49/25) prefer McGinty. The Democrat also has the support of 18 to 29 year-olds (46/35) and 30 to 45 year-olds (39/32). The GOP incumbent is ahead with 46 to 64 year-olds (50/40) and 65 years and older (46/41).
It seems that quite like the presidential race, neither Senate candidate is particularly popular. For example, Sen. Toomey’s approval rating sits at just 32% against 42% disapproval rating. McGinty, on the other hand, has only a 25% favorable rating alongside a 37% unfavorable rating.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,505 likely Pennsylvania voters from July 29th to 31st. The margin of error is +/- 2.5%.