According to the latest Quinnipiac Poll, Sen. Toomey holds a one point advantage in his re-election quest against Democratic nominee Katie McGinty.
They found Toomey with 46% while McGinty came in at 45%.
Last month, Quinnipiac had McGinty ahead by three points.
There are several demographic gaps present in this race. For example, men favor Toomey 53% to 36% while women prefer McGinty 53% to 40%.
Meanwhile, Toomey has the lead with whites (52/42) and McGinty is the choice of most non-whites (61/26). Going deeper, white woman are evenly split between the two candidates (48/48) yet white men vastly prefer Toomey (56/34).
Despite the large educational gap in the presidential race, though, there isn’t much of one in this contest. Toomey leads with both those white voters that do (50/46) and do not (53/39) have a college degree.
Finally, McGinty holds a small advantage with independents, 46% to 42%. Of course, Democrats back her 82% to 13% while Republicans support Sen. Toomey 83% to 11%.
The Quinnipiac University Poll surveyed 778 likely Pennsylvania voters from August 29th to September 7th using live interviews from landlines and cell phones. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.