Barack Obama’s lead in Pennsylvania has grown over the past month, a poll released today by Quinnipiac indicates. The results reflect a 5 point swing in the President’s favor since Q-Pac’s poll in early April which showed him within the margin of error, 45 percent to 42 for Romney.
“The president’s lead in Pennsylvania is across the board. He carries independent voters 45 – 36 percent,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “A slight majority says he deserves a second term and gives him a thumbs up for his job performance. He has a huge lead among women, while men go to Romney by a nose. Of the three states, Pennsylvania is the one in which the largest number of voters say the economy is beginning to recover.”
The pollster conducted similar surveys in Florida and Ohio; there Romney’s numbers are improving – he trails Obama by a single point in each state.
More important than the head-to-head numbers are opinions of Obama’s job performance. This survey shows significant growth by the President. By twin margins of 50 to 46 percent, votes approve of the job he’s doing and say he deserves re-election. Last month, those figures were 50 to 45 percent and 50 to 46 percent against Obama, respectively.
As far as Romney’s VP pick, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie led the field of PA’s choices. He took 28 percent of support among a list of 7 options. Florida Senator Marco Rubio took second with 15 points; all the rest were in single digits. Sen. Pat Toomey was not polled.
From April 25 – May 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,168 Pennsylvania voters using live interviewers via land lines and cell phones. The margin of error of is +/- 2.9 percent.
According to the pollster:
Pennsylvania women are wild about Obama, giving him a 52 – 35 percent general election lead. Men tip to Romney 44 – 41 percent.
The economy is in a recession, voters say 69 – 28 percent, but 56 percent say recovery has begun. Obama would do a better job on the economy, 44 percent of voters say, while 43 percent point to Romney.
The Supreme Court should overturn the health care law, 46 percent of voters say, while 43 percent say the court should uphold the law.
Pennsylvania voters approve 56 – 34 percent of the way Obama is handling Afghanistan, but say 61 – 30 percent the U.S. should not be involved. The pace of troop withdrawal is about right, 48 percent say.