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PPP Poll: Clinton 44% Trump 44%

Hillary-DonaldIt’s a tie. At the moment.

According to the latest Public Policy Polling survey of Pennsylvanians, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump each get 44% in a presidential head-to-head matchup.

There was a gigantic gender gap in the results. Women favor Hillary 54% to 34% while men prefer Donald 55% to 33%.

When candidates from lesser known parties are included, Clinton gains a slight advantage.

The Democrat takes 41% against the Republican’s 40%. This question includes Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein who got 6% and 3% respectively.

As for favorability ratings, Clinton received a terrible 35/56 favorable/unfavorable split. Fortunately for her, however, Trump’s 34/59 split was even worse.

Despite all that, when voters were presented with a generic Democrat vs. a generic Republican, the Democrat won out 45% to 41%.

PPP attributed this result to the fact that Hillary Clinton has to win over Bernie Sanders supporters.

“Pennsylvania is a great microcosm of the issue Clinton faces in winning over Sanders fans. Among people who support Sanders in a head to head match up with Trump, only 72% support Clinton in the general,” they write. “10% would go to Trump, 6% to Stein, 4% to Johnson, and 9% are undecided. If Clinton could win over even just half of those Sanders supporting hold outs her lead over Trump would go from a tenuous 41-40 to a comfortable 47-40. Whether it’s possible for her to do that time will tell.”

“The biggest question in the Presidential race at this point is whether hesitant Bernie Sanders fans are going to get behind Hillary Clinton or not,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “In Pennsylvania if the answer to that question is yes, Clinton will be a strong favorite in the state. If the answer to that question is no, the state will be a toss up.”

Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,106 registered voters from June 3rd to 5th. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel. The margin of error is +/- 3.0%.

12 Responses

  1. That’s a good one Diano! I about fell out of my chair when I read your comment that she wore the $12,000 Armani jacket “to demonstrate inequality”! Are you outof your flipping mind? That takes the cake. You win the idiot American award of the day. Classic!

  2. Tim, Bernie did not come close to carrying every county in NY except for the 5 boroughs.

  3. In many ways, they were made for each other. How is that for a another ridiculous generality so often read in this forum.

  4. Bernie won every county except the 5 boroughs of New York City thanks to the jews and hispanics that propelled Clinton to victory in that State. Forget about PA being “reliably blue” for a minute, we don’t need a repeat of 8 years of O’bama and his failed policies and the liberal agenda and lying Hilary in there to louse things up any more than they are. I stand by my call, Trump will emerge victorious. Hillary is no glowing golden goddess as the media portrays her. She will be outed as the huge fraud she really is. A lot will be revealed about her before the general election in November. The best is yet to come. Hold on to your hats kiddies!

  5. @Tim. There is a reason I don’t make political predictions. Odds are you come out looking like an idiot when you do that.

    I’ll tell you what I think and my opinion. People remember predictions and you just sound dumb.

    Throughout the primary people kept posting things like “Bernie Predicts he’ll win big in NY” like he’s Bernac. That and 50cents will get him a cup or coffee

  6. Tim-
    1) The suit is worth less than a third of that
    2) She and her husband have written successful books and made millions from their fans
    3) Trump pisses more than that away every day with his private jet

    The story should be titled-

    PA has gone blue every cycle since Bill won in 1992, and keeps getting bluer. Dems are ahead in registration this year: 113K to 86K (and have gained ground every year this century)

  7. Crooked Hilary can wear all the $40,000 Armani suits she wants, Trumpy will win PA in a landslide. She’s slime!

  8. Clinton in statistical dead heat with Republican nominee according to a solid blue pollster in a solid blue presidential voting state.

    Take away – She’s losing in a reliably blue state for presidential years…

  • Reader Poll: Should President Joe Biden Step Aside?

    • Yes. He should step aside because of his age, declining ability to do the job. (45%)
    • No. He should not step aside. (39%)
    • Yes. He should step aside because he can't beat Donald Trump. (15%)

    Total Voters: 231

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