Quinnipiac Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by several points among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll.

Biden leads Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, among likely voters in the Keystone State, while 4% remain undecided. This is a slight improvement for the president in comparison to Quinnipiac’s last poll released on Oct. 21 that showed Biden with an 8 point lead, 51%-to-43%. 

This is the third time Quinnipiac polled the presidential race in PA during October. Their first poll this month, released on Oct. 7, showed Biden with a 13 point lead over Trump, 54%-to-41%. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Quinnipiac University favors Democrats by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B+ grade. 

A majority of Pennsylvania likely voters still view Biden favorably, while a majority of voters in the state view Trump unfavorably. 

51% have a favorable opinion of Biden, while 43% view him unfavorably. 43% have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 52% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 

A majority of polling in October has consistently shown Biden leading Trump in the state. Biden’s lead in this poll is just a few points higher than the current Real Clear Politics average.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A CNBC/Change Research poll shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Civiqs/DailyKos poll of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Franklin & Marshall College poll released on Oct. 28 showed Biden carrying a 6 point lead over Trump, 50%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state.

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from the Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. However, a Trafalgar Group poll released on Tuesday showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. 

One other poll from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and one Democratic backed poll released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, of likely voters in the state released this week shows Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.3 points in Pennsylvania. 

Quinnipiac surveyed 1,324 Pennsylvania likely voters from Oct. 23-27. The poll has a margin of error of +/-2.7%. 

The full Pennsylvania crosstabs for the Quinnipiac University poll can be found here.

October 29th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 5 Comments

5 thoughts on “Quinnipiac Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44”

  1. truth says:

    Trump is a despicable liar and moron. Dog catcher would be too good of an office for him. Shame on USA that he became president. Putin got his wish.

  2. mrwhippy says:

    Flush that turd on November Third! Get rid of Trump!

  3. babs75 says:

    After 3 1/2 years of media attacks, Freddo Cuomo’s nonsense, impeachment and use of the virus against him as a political weapon he is good tough Prez to even be this close.

    1. Trump says:

      Are you really that stupid? I’ve been duping you for 4 years and you never caught on to my con? OMG but you are dense.

      1. Ned Shneablee says:

        babs aka fried eggs chest Laura Ingraham.

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