That’s the finding of the latest Quinnipiac Poll, which finds the former Secretary of State in the lead over GOP nominee Donald Trump, 48% to 43%.
That five point lead holds steady when Libertarian Party Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included. In a four-way contest, Clinton gets 44%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9% and Stein 3%.
Last month, just after the Democratic National Convention, Clinton held a ten point lead in Quinnipiac’s survey. In July, on the other hand, Trump recorded a two point advantage. The latter is the only poll that has shown Trump ahead of Clinton in a general election matchup in PA this year.
There is still a substantial gender gap in the contest between Clinton and Trump. Women prefer the Democrat by a 54% to 39% margin, while men go for the Republican 48% to 41%.
Clinton also has a slim lead with white women, 46% to 45%, while Trump is ahead with white men 55% to 35%. Additionally, Hillary is the choice of white college graduates, 50% to 43%, while whites without a degree prefer Donald 56% to 37%.
Overall, Trump has an eight point advantage with whites (50/42) while Clinton has a sixty point lead with nonwhites (75/15).
Meanwhile, Independents swing towards Clinton (51/39). As expected, most Democrats support their candidate (87/11) and most Republicans back theirs (82/9).
Finally, those in military households prefer Trump 57% to 35%.
The Quinnipiac University Poll surveyed 778 likely Pennsylvania voters from August 29th to September 7th using live interviews from landlines and cell phones. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.