Now the new Quinnipiac poll finds Hillary with a 52% to 42% advantage over The Donald.
When Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included Clinton’s lead is at nine points, 48% to 39%. Johnson gets 7% while Stein is at just 3%.
Quinnipiac released these results early so there are no crosstabs yet, but there is still some valuable information.
For instance, Hillary Clinton’s favorable/unfavorable split (44/51) is poor while still being better than Trump’s (36/57).
Other favorability scores included: First Lady Michelle Obama (63/25), President Barack Obama (56/41), former President Bill Clinton (52/43) and Melania Trump (28/21).
Demographics and Ideologies
Once again, there was a large gender gap in this contest. Clinton leads 59% to 36% among women while Trump has the 49% to 44% edge with men.
Furthermore, nonwhite respondents went with Clinton by a 81% to 8% margin. On the other hand, white voters support Trump by just three points, 49% to 46%.
Digging into the crosstabs, we find that white women support Hillary 54% to 43% while white men back Donald 57% to 37%.
There was also a large education gap. College graduates went with Clinton by a 55% to 40% whereas those who didn’t have a college degree chose Trump 58% to 38%.
Finally, despite the discord at the DNC, Clinton is ahead 92% to 5% with Democrats. Compare that to Trump’s numbers, 83% to 14%, with Republicans. Independents prefer Hillary 48% to 44%.
This survey was conducted by Quinnipiac University using live interviewers calling land lines and cell phones from July 30th to August 7th. They contacted 815 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error is +/- 3.4%.