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Quinnipiac Poll Complicates 2012 Senate Picture

Just like that, Pennsylvania has a ball game

A Quinnipiac poll released this morning shows Senator Bob Casey with less-than-invincible numbers. Casey has a 39 – 29 percent job approval rating, a 43 – 35 percent lead over a generic Republican in 2012, and his ‘deserve re-elect’ at 40 – 33 percent.

Among politicos, an incumbent earning less than 50% in the ‘deserve re-elect’ category is seen as vulnerable.

At first blush those numbers are reassuring to Republicans, who have struggled against perceptions of Casey’s strength as they work to raise money and recruit candidates to run against him.

In one striking figure, 50% of respondents including 52% of Independent voters believe that Casey shares the same views as President Obama. Connecting Casey to Obama is likely to be a key Republican message against him.

Bear in mind that this is just one poll, and a very early one at that. A large percentage of respondents simply haven’t tuned in yet, including 32% of those asked about Casey’s job performance and 27% asked if he deserves re-election.

In a release this morning, Democratic Party spokesman Mark Nicastre aptly noted that, “Voters approve of Sen. Casey’s job performance and they support him over a Republican by a wide margin – even in a difficult political environment.”

So, are these numbers terrible for Casey? No.

But one thing is for sure: Pennsylvania’s 2012 Senate contest is shaping up to be a major race.

3 Responses

  1. “What we ardently and cosatnntly desire, we always get”. Step 2. Goals If success is to come your must realise what is expected to materialize. This statement may seem obvious at first but if careful thought is given its meaning takes on deeper significance. Many people fail to gain satisfactory results from their endeavours because they did not know what they wanted to accomplish in the first place. Your objective must not be hazy or incomplete. Before you reach your goal you must be able to identify how your life will be different when you achieve it. You must know exactly what it is that you want to achieve. How will your life be better/different? How will you feel? What way will you look? What situations will you find yourself in? Will other people in your life be effected and if so how will they react? You need a clear definite picture in your mind of what the attainment of your goal will mean to you. Step 3. Belief Belief is the back-up system of desire. It keep the fires of enthusiasm burning and makes us continually strive to get nearer the goal attainment. Faith can truly move mountains; the mountains of fear, inferiority, worry and low self esteem – ‘the success killers’! Once a goal is firmly fixed in mind and our desire-force is hurtling us toward seemingly insurmountable obstacles, the firm belief that we can gain a favourable outcome can spur us on to victory. When the mind has been manipulated to reflect this state, wonderful physical results can ensue, producing symptoms of success in our lives in every area imaginable. Although many can attest to the power of belief and to the wondrous accomplishments that were achieved through nothing else except faith, it still remains that many individuals find it hard to believe that a positive outcome will be forthcoming when they are faced with momentous opposition. Whether the opposition is mental or physical the fact that nothing seems to be going right and everything seems to be wrong is enough for even the strongest of us to ‘throw in the towel’. But it is in these very situations that faith can conquer all. Faith in yourself, what you are doing and belief that that your objective will be reached. There are some who bemoan “easier said than done”. This is exactly the kind of mental attitude that sustains the problems that they are trying to eradicate. If your belief power is not apparent, take hope for it can be acquired. Each morning and night recite your intentions from a written list of your goals. Voice your belief in your own abilities. Tell yourself that in due course you will be successful. As you go about your daily affairs reflect as often as possible on your goals and affirm that they are yours now. Fool your mind into believing it and you will see your world reflect it! Step 4. Plan Having decided upon your goal and being determined to build your faith you need to give your desire-force a ‘vehicle’ through which it may materialize. This ‘vehicle’ will take the form of a definite plan of action. Do you need to acquire certain skills? Do you need to know certain people or be in certain places to help you achieve your goal? Make a plan that will help you get closer to your end objective. Research your desires and get clear on what you need to do. Then do it! Ensure that your plan is workable and realistic for you. Although your plan should remain flexible so that changes can be made when appropriate only make changes after careful consideration. Trial and error will eventually show the way to a good plan although you should be open to intuition also. However, I should point out that, it is very likely your goal will materialize in a most unexpected way. The fact that you have set a plan for its accomplishment tends to set things in motion and like a chain reaction (or the butterfly effect) subtle changes made by you may cause dramatic changes elsewhere and your goal may come before your plan is completed. Step 5. Visualization Visualization is the art of creating mental movies of your completed goal. This has many beneficial effects upon your consciousness. Without going into the deeper esoteric benefits of using this art let me just say that you are truly designing your life when you use it. It has one other major benefit – it strengthens your desire and persistence because you momentarily experience the thrill of having achieved your goal! Just form a mental picture of having achieved your goal. See what you will see. Feel how wonderful it will be. See how it effects everyone around you. Hear people congratulate you. When this state is experienced nothing will stop you in your quest for your objective and thus your belief-power will also be reinforced. Step 6. The Subconscious Mind It is within the subconscious part of your mind that you hold all th positive and negative beliefs about yourself – your self-image. These beliefs are reflected back to you in the form of attitudes. Therefore it is from the subconscious mind that the thought of failure or success comes. Attitudes are just mental programs and so is your self-image. They can easily be changed (yes I said ‘easily’). Any attitude or belief can be changed by using the formula outlined in this article – by combining affirmations with visualization. Henry Ford used it, as did Ralph Waldo Emerson and even Arnold Swatzeneger. It is reported in some circles that a similar technique was employed by Bill Gates to build his global empire. Andrew Carnegie used it exactly as described to attain and give away multi-millions even though he was an unschooled manual worker when he started it. Carnegie’s legacy can still be seen today when you freely borrow a book from any Carnegie library of which there are thousands. If you use these six steps there is nothing you cannot achieve. Luckily we have the advantage of living in the Twentieth Century with all its new technology and innovations such as hypnosis and subliminal programming. Use these steps in conjunction with your favourite personal development system and you are assured success.

  2. I do NOT vote for a known name or for a candidate the press and some individuals who find “likable”. Casey has voted for every bill to increase our deficit. He has voted for Obamacare knowing well that this bill would include abortions though he states he is against abortions. He is a tax and spend individual who appears to have no knowledge of basic economics.He appears to be ignorant of the Contitution when it comes to the rule of our land when he votes for amnesty for ILLEGAL immigrants.I could write a book on his voting record which to me is the true test of whether he should be awarded another term. Instead of putting all in this comment, I will unequivocally say, I will NOT vote for him and 2010 should he decide to run again.He needs a real civilian working job to understand what is happening in this great nation of ours as he is oblivious of this now.

  3. I think the Republican party’s strategy will wear thin quickly on Pennsylvania, particularly with their coddling of special interest groups. The current congressional delegation for the GOP is more of what you’d see in a country club setting.

    Challengers in:

    Scaringi, I bet Corman, and perhaps Tim Murphy. He’d be a formidable challenger that would probably do well in the western and central parts of the state.

  • Understanding that basic education funding should/will be first, what should be the next highest priority for the General Assembly?

    • Raising The Minimum Wage (25%)
    • Legalizing Adult-Use Marijuana (24%)
    • None of the above. Something Else. (20%)
    • Economic Development (14%)
    • Higher Education (8%)
    • Public Transportation (8%)
    • Workforce Opportunities and Innovation (2%)

    Total Voters: 51

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