Quinnipiac Poll: Corbett’s Numbers Slightly Better, But Still Down
Although his approval has shown a slight improvement over previous polls, Gov. Tom Corbett is still getting a net negative review from voters, with a Quinnipiac poll released today showing that PA voters disapprove of the job he is doing 45 percent to 38 percent.
Previous Quinnipiac polls have shown slightly worse numbers.
A Q-Pac poll from June 27th had his approval rating at 50 percent negative and 35 percent positive – and that was a tic worse than their numbers from June 12th, which showed the Guv at 47 to 36 percent disapproval.
Their March poll was the last that showed him not in the negative: he was tied among voters at 41-41. This was part of an overall downward trend Corbett experienced since his spike in favorability last September.
Passing the state’s budget on time for the second year in a row could have been the reason for his slight bump in popularity, although he still trails among certain voting blocs.
Of likely voters, women disapprove of him 48 percent to 34 percent, and Independents disapprove 44 percent to 39 percent. Democrats disapprove by a 65 percent to 7 percent margin.
Men are split 42-42, while Republicans approve of Corbett 60 percent to 25 percent.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,168 likely Pennsylvania voters via live calls to land lines and cell phones. The margin or error is +/1 2.9 percent.
Update: Republican political consultant Chris Nicholas noted that the demographics of the Q-Pac poll don’t reflect voter registration realities in the state, with the poll having surveyed 32 percent Republicans, 36 percent Democrats and 26 percent Independents.
Nicholas said no state House district has more than 18 percent of voters registered Independent, and because Independents are overrepresented it skewed the poll results too heavily in the Dems’ favor “as they tend to be less interested and vote less too,” he said.
They sided with the Democrats on Obama and Casey, and in their disapproval of Corbett too.
However, while Nicholas notes that using 26 percent of registered Independents does not reflect reality, the poll question asked self-described ideology, not registration. And party registration is asked two questions later: with 40 percent Republican, 46 percent Democrat, 12 percent other.
Actual registration is currently 50 percent Dem, 37 percent GOP and 12.5 percent other. Pretty close.