Pennsylvania isn’t a runaway yet. President Obama holds a 6 point lead over Republican rival Mitt Romney according to the latest from Quinnipiac, fueled by his better performance among women and independents. However, Romney remains competitive because of his performance among men and on the question of who’s better suited to handle the economy.
Obama lead was 47 to 39 percent in Quinnipiac’s May 3 survey. These numbers are also better for Romney than the most recent Franklin & Marshall survey, which showed Obama ahead by a comfortable 48 to 36 percent margin.
But it’s not the best head-to-head for the Republican, either. He actually lead Obama in the firm’s August 2011 poll, 44 to 42.
In today’s Q-pac, the President’s 46 to 40 lead grows among women; he leads that group 51 to 36 percent. Men favor Romney 44 to 40 percent. Independents go Obama’s way 43 to 35 percent.
A few of the interesting questions about the economy give the Romney camp room to hope. Who would do a better job with the economy, Romney, 49 to 41 percent. Who would create more jobs? Romney, 45 to 43 percent.
On the question of personality, Obama has a decisive lead. Voters think Obama is personally likeable by a 77 to 18 point margin, twice as Romney’s (58 to 29 percent). But the President’s job approval remains in negative territory; 46 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove.
“President Barack Obama is holding his ground against Gov. Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania. While almost four-fifths of voters, including 58 percent of Republicans, say the President is a likable person, where the rubber meets the road on the campaign trail – the economy – Romney has the lead,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
“Pennsylvanians may like the president more than they like Mitt Romney, but the warm and fuzzy feeling gives way to the cold hard truth of a still shaky economy.”
Quinnipiac University surveyed 997 registered voters from June 5 – 10 via live interviews on landlines and cell phones. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.