Reuters-Ipsos Poll: Biden 49, Trump 46
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a narrow edge over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to this latest poll.
The latest Reuters-Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 3 points, 49-to-46, in the state. While Biden has a 3 point edge over Trump in the Keystone State, Biden holds a 5 point advantage, 48-to-43, in Wisconsin according to polling from Reuters-Ipsos also released on Monday.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Ipsos favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B- grade.
The Pennsylvania polling also pitted Biden and Trump against each other on 8 specific issues. Voters preferred Trump over Biden on the economy and job creation (48-to-40), immigration (47-to-39), and being tough on crime and civil unrest (46-to-37). Biden has the advantage over Trump on healthcare (46-to-37), national recovery from the impact of coronavirus/COVID-19 (44-to-41), ability to restore trust in American government (44-to-37), strong on civil rights (46-to-35), and being strong on the environment/climate change (48-to-28).
Recent polling shows Biden leading Trump in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster.
A poll released on Sept. 8 from Susquehanna Polling & Research showed Biden with just a 2 point edge over Trump with likely voters, 44-to-42, which is within the poll’s margin of error. A Morning Consult poll released on Sept. 9 showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Group poll of likely voters in the state released on Sept 20, showed Biden leading Trump within the poll’s margin of error, 47.3-to-44.9. Biden’s largest lead in recent polls comes from a NBC News/Marist poll also released on Sept. 9 that shows 53% of likely voters in the state are backing Biden’s bid, while 44% are supporting Trump.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 3.8 points in Pennsylvania.
This overall poll, surveying 1,005 adults, including 611 likely voters, collected data between Sept 11-16, has a margin of error of +/-4.5%.
The full data can be found here.