Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44

Former Vice President Joe Biden extends his lead by a few points over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Reuters-Ipsos poll

51% of likely voters said they will be voting for Biden, while 44% of likely voters said they will be voting for Trump. Their previous poll released on Oct. 26 showed Biden with a 5 point lead, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the Keystone State. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Ipsos favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B- grade. 

Biden remains as the preferred candidate to handle the coronavirus pandemic, while Trump has the advantage on managing the economy in the Pennsylvania polling. 

51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic, while 40% said that Trump would be better. 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy, while 46% said Biden would be better handling the matter. 

25% of adults polled from Pennsylvania said they already had voted. 

Reuters-Ipsos also released polling from five other battleground states on Sunday as well. Biden’s largest lead is in Michigan and Wisconsin where the former VP leads the president by 10 points respectively in each state. Biden leads Trump by 2 points in Arizona and Florida, while holding a 1 point advantage in North Carolina. 

This poll, surveying 1,006 adults, including 673 likely voters in Pennsylvania, collected data between Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, has a margin of error of +/-4%. 

The article from Reuters on the latest poll can be found here.

Biden’s lead in this latest poll is a few points larger than the current Real Clear Politics average. 

A previous New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released in early-October showed Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely votersshows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A CNBC/Change Research poll shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Oct. 23 showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Group poll showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. A Civiqs/DailyKos poll of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Franklin & Marshall College poll released on Oct. 28 showed Biden carrying a 6 point lead over Trump, 50%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. A third Quinnipiac University poll released this month on Oct. 28 showed Biden leading Trump among likely voters in the state by 7 points, 51%-to-44%. Biden holds a 5 point lead over Trump, 50%-to-45%, among registered voters in the state, according to a Univision/University of Houston poll. A PoliticalIQ poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen showed Biden leading Trump by 6 points, 51%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A second The Hill/Harris polling released in late-October showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, among likely voters in the state. A second Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll released on Oct. 31 showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-to-44%, in the state. A Washington Post/ABC News poll released on Sunday showed Biden with a 7 point advantage, 51%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. A New York Times/Siena College poll released on Sunday shows Biden ahead of Trump by 6 points, 49%-to-43%, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll released on Sunday shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 50%-to-46%, among likely voters in the state.

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from the Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. An AtlasIntel poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 31 showed Trump with a 1 point lead over Biden, 49.6%-to-48.5%. 

Two other polls from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and two Democratic backed polls released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 26 showed Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness released another poll on Nov. 1 that showed Trump only leading Biden by just over 1 point, 48.7%-to-47.4%, in the state. 

A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by Climate Power 2020 shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, in the state.

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.3 points in Pennsylvania.

November 1st, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 2 Comments

2 thoughts on “Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44”

  1. GOP morals says:

    Why hasn’t Republican Campaign Chairman State Rep Greg Rothman condemned fellow Republican State Rep Aaron Bernstine a serial philanderer and child abuser? Is Greg Rothman continuing to support Aaron Bernstine’s reelection?

    In one video obtained by the USA TODAY Network, Aaron Bernstine, R-10, New Beaver, Lawrence County, is behind the camera, but his hand is shown holding a cigar and offering it to his son.

    When the young boy takes a puff, Bernstine tells him to “hit it harder” and “breathe in,” followed by a woman’s voice saying, “No.”

    A second video has Bernstine again off camera asking his son, “What are we going to chase in Nashville?” The boy replies in a whisper, “Cadillac p—ssy,” using a vulgar term for vagina.

  2. FormerGOPer says:

    Vote Democratic up and down the ticket.

    Protect the United States from the terribly unethical cowards called the modern Republican party. Republicans haven’t done a single thing to earn votes over the last 4 years.

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