Roll Call released a list of the top 5 races to watch in the Mid-Atlantic region today, and excluded any races from Pennsylvania.
Author Nathan Gonzales even went so far as to say that “It’s a bad sign for Democrats when they have more Mid-Atlantic congressional opportunities in West Virginia than in Pennsylvania.”
This list signals a change from last summer, when Roll Call listed PA-8 as a race to watch. Even then, the district was categorized as “Republican Favored”, though the race was still considered one to keep an eye on.
Gonzales’s description of PA-8 this time around, however, is short and packed with bad news for PA Democrats.
“GOP Rep. Michael G. Fitzpatrick is running strong in Pennsylvania’s 8th District, and his race with Democrat Kevin Strouse should barely be considered competitive at this point,” he wrote.
Roll Call’s slight change in prediction is just one indicator in a slowly growing line of pundits downgrading the once optimistic chances of both Kevin Strouse in PA-8 and Democratic nominee Manan Trivedi in PA-6.
The organization did include NJ-3 on their list, which echoes DCCC Chair Steve Israel’s comments last month. This would suggest that the New Jersey race, and not one of the two SEPA contests, are the Democrats’ top priority in the Delaware Valley.