Although we are still over three months away from election day, the Rothenberg Political Report has identified frontrunners for three key Congressional races in Pennsylvania.
Republican Ryan Costello is the “clear favorite” against Dr. Manan Trivedi in the 6th district. Both are fighting for the seat vacated by Republican Jim Gerlach. According to the report, this district leans toward the GOP.
Costello also earned a candidate profile in the report.
“Clearly a political junkie, Costello comes across as personable and astute,” writes Rothenberg. “He can discuss campaigns and policy with equal ease, and could become someone of influence within the House GOP. If elected, Costello will likely be a mainstream, pragmatic conservative Republican — definitely not a tea party caucus guy.”
In the 8th district, incumbent Republican Mike Fitzpatrick is currently looking “very strong” in his race against Democrat Kevin Strouse thanks to a competitive primary challenge from Shaughnessy Naughton. They rate the seat as “Republican favored” as opposed to PA-6’s “Lean Republican” status.
Democratic Congresswoman Allyson Schwartz left her position in Congress to run for governor, but the Rothenberg Political Report believes that the seat will remain in the hands of the Democrats. They are confident that State Representative Brendan Boyle will overtake Republican Dee Adcock in the 13th district, asserting that Boyle “will win the seat in November.”
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I have no doubt about Costello. He really should have no problem. Fitzpatrick would win on his own but he has Corbett to deal with which is a problem as Corbett figures to lose Bucks County by at least 10% and maybe more. The seat is always close under the best of circumstances so it’s really how poorly Corbett ends up in Bucks that might control the outcome there for Congress.
Stu always has had a sterling record in assessing congressional races. I’m looking forward to his thoughts on Reps. Rothfus and Kelly.
Rothenberg also reported the sky is blue and, indeed, humans breath oxygen.