Sabato Classifies PA as “Lean Democratic” in 2016 Presidential Race
Lucky for us, the people over at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball have released their first electoral map of the season.
Pennsylvania is classified as “Lean Democratic”.
While generally considered a toss-up state, PA hasn’t voted for a Republican since George H.W. Bush defeated Mike Dukakis in 1988.
Overall, Sabato rates thirteen states (California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington) and the District of Columbia as “Safe Democratic”. They represent 179 electoral votes.
Meanwhile, twenty states (Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Wyoming and West Virginia) are rated “Safe Republican”. They represent 154 electoral votes.
Four states are rated “Likely Democratic” (Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico and Oregon) and they contain 38 electoral votes. Three states, and 37 electoral votes, are labeled “Likely Republican” (Arizona, Georgia, Missouri).
Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are the two “Lean Democratic” states combining for 30 electoral votes. North Carolina, and its 15 electoral votes, is the only “Lean Republican” state.
Altogether, that leaves Democrats with a 247-206 advantage over the GOP in the electoral college.
Seven toss-up states (Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia) represent the decisive 85 electoral votes.