Sabato moved Pa-6, which is represented by Congressman Ryan Costello (R-Chester), and Pa-7, which is represented by Congressman Pat Meehan (R-Delaware) from ‘likely Republican’ to ‘leans Republican.’
The shift notes that both Costello and Meehan have at least one Democratic challenger in the race already. In both of the districts, President Trump’s results in 2016 ran behind Mitt Romney’s results in 2012.
“In Pennsylvania, PA-6 and PA-7 may be more competitive next year than Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick’s (R, PA-8) district, which seemed to be more of a swing seat when Republicans drew it following the 2010 census. As of now, Fitzpatrick, a freshman who replaced his retired brother last fall, does not have a clear Democratic challenger,” the post noted, explaining why it did not shift Fitzpatrick’s Bucks County centered district.
The shift will likely be used by the Democratic challengers to show they are shifting the narrative in their favor. With 16 months between now and the general election, the rating is likely to shift multiple times.
Nationally, Democrats have seen a surge in candidates jumping into races. Already, Democrats have had more candidates enter races and raise at least $5,000 than have done the same in each of the last at this point combined.