Close this search box.

Sabato Upgrades Rothfus Rating to Safe

Keith Rothfus portrait lores
Rep. Keith Rothfus

National elections handicapper Larry Sabato thinks freshman Rep. Keith Rothfus (R-Allegheny) is heading for a second term.

His chances were upgraded from “likely Republican” to “safe Republican.”

Now that former Congressman Mark Critz, the man Rothfus beat by 3% in 2012, has decided not to seek a rematch, Rothfus is on solid ground.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball out of the University of Virginia rates every congressional race in the country.

Here’s what he wrote:

PA-12 (Safe Republican): While there is some action stirring on the Democratic side against Rep. Keith Rothfus (R), the decision by ex-Rep. Mark Critz (D) to forgo a rematch here takes this race off the board, in our view.

It matches the read on the race by the Cook Political Report, another national elections observer, who moved PA-12 from “likely” to “solid” Republican in late August.

Rothfus has two Democratic opponents: Erin McClelland runs a health care clinic in the Allegheny-Kiski valley; John Hugya was a longtime friend and aide to the late Rep. John Murtha.

Critz is running for Lieutenant Governor.

Of all 18 Pennsylvania congressional seats, Sabato rates just one among potentially competitive races: Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick’s (R-Bucks) PA-8 is rated “leans Republican.”

7 Responses

  1. Congressman Rothfus has thus far represented his constituents well and this is why he was moved to safe. As long as he continues to listens to his constituents and serve them well, I don’t see that changing.

  2. Pennsylvania Democratic Congressional candidates get the majority of votes statewide, but Republicans “win” most of PA’s seats. And now we have only one competitive race in the state… barely.

    GOP gerrymandering in action. Yay, democracy!

  3. Rothfus voting to cut food stamps… against
    funding for flood victims, and against the Violence Against Women Act.. he’s not just your regular guy… he’s an embarrassment.

  • Does the NYC Verdict Make You More or Less Likely to Vote For Trump in 2024?

    • Less Likely (36%)
    • More Likely (34%)
    • Makes No Difference (30%)

    Total Voters: 112

    Loading ... Loading ...
Continue to Browser


To install tap and choose
Add to Home Screen