SP&R Poll: Biden 44, Trump 42
President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are neck and neck in the Keystone State in this latest poll.
According to a new poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research, Biden leads Trump by 2 points, 44-to-42, among likely voters in Pennsylvania, while 7% remain undecided with a combined 6% either choosing another candidate or declining to answer the question. Biden’s lead is within the poll’s margin of error.
Trump has narrowed the gap in the race in comparison to the two SP&R polls conducted earlier this year. An April FOX43/SP&R poll showed Biden leading Trump by 6 points, 48-to-42, while polling in June showed Biden with a 5 point advantage, 46-to-41.
While SP&R has a reputation of being a GOP-leaning pollster, the analysts at FiveThirtyEight grade them as slightly leaning towards Democrats.
SP&R’s latest #Pa Poll in the race for the White House shows that rioting and violent protests in USA cities are fueling a surge for Trump. Race is now a statistical 2-point margin. Download results and exclusive analysis by visiting https://t.co/czyqudpwQn
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) September 8, 2020
Multiple polls released last week show Biden with a lead over Trump in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. A Monmouth University poll of registered voters and Morning Consult poll of likely voters both showed Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters has Biden with an 8 point advantage over Trump, 52-to-44.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 3.9 points in Pennsylvania.
SP&R surveyed 498 likely Pennsylvania voters between August 26 and September 4. The telephone poll has a margin of error of +/-4.3% at the 95% confidence level.
The topline survey results from SP&R can be found here.