The Republican race for Governor in 2022 is wide open, although a former GOP congressman has emerged as an early frontrunner, according to this new poll.
Susquehanna Polling and Research’s new poll gave registered Republicans the following options for the 2022 GOP primary for Governor: Doug Mastriano, William McSwain, Lou Barletta, Jim Cawley, Dan Meuser, other, and undecided.
60% polled said that they were undecided on who they would support if the Republican primary election were being held today.
Former Congressman Lou Barletta led the way with 20% among the candidates provided as an option in the poll. The only other candidate to surpass double digits was state Sen. Doug Mastriano, who registered with 11% support.
McSwain, a former U.S. Attorney, was next in line with 3%, followed by Congressman Dan Meuser (R-Luzerne) who also is at 3%. Former Lt. Gov. Jim Cawley received 2% of the vote in the poll, and “other” was selected by 1%.
New SP&R Poll Shows Early Fav in GOP Nomination for Pa Gov. If [’22] GOP Primary were held today, frm. Con. L. Barletta is top choice (20%), followed by D. Mastriano (11%), B. McSwain (3%), D. Meuser (3%) and J. Cawley (2%). 60% no pick. Visit https://t.co/czyqudpwQn for details
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) March 17, 2021
According to the polling memo from SP&R, Barletta leads the other GOP hopefuls in “three critical areas” of the state, including the “conservative “T”/Central, the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton media market, and the Southcentral/Harrisburg/Lancaster/Perry market.
These potential GOP candidates for Governor largely remain unknown by the Republican voters, although Barletta and Mastriano are neck and neck in approval rating.
23% have a favorable opinion of Barletta, while 11% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 33% have no opinion of the former GOP congressman and one time Senate candidate and 33% have never heard of him.
22% have a favorable opinion of Mastriano, while 5% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 39% have no opinion of the GOP state Senator, while 34% never heard of him.
8% have a favorable opinion of Cawley, while 5% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 46% never heard of the former Lt. Governor, while 41% have no opinion of him.
5% have a favorable opinion of Meuser, while 7% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 57% never heard of the GOP congressman, while 30% have no opinion of him.
3% have a favorable opinion of McSwain, while 3% have an unfavorable opinion of him. 60% have never heard of the former U.S. Attorney, while 34% have no opinion.
Although these five candidates were presented as options for candidates for Governor, none of the five have formally announced their entrance into the race.
One thing that does largely unite Republican voters is their approval of former President Donald Trump.
83% have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 12% have an unfavorable opinion, and 5% have no opinion.
SP&R surveyed 700 likely Pennsylvania general election voters, with a subset of 272 Republican voters, between Feb. 16-to-Feb. 24.
The margin of error for a sample size of 700 interviews is +/-3.7% at the 95% confidence level, or +/-5.9% for a subset of 272 interviews with registered Republicans.
The topline survey results from SP&R can be found here.