Tag: Pennsylvania poll

It’s not just the presidential race that is too close to call in Pennsylvania this fall.

An AARP-commissioned poll between September 17-24 showed that the Pennsylvania Attorney General and PA State Treasurer contests are also within the +/-3.5% margin of error, while the U.S. Senate race difference is just beyond that figure.

In a survey of 1,398 likely Pennsylvania voters, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 50-47% advantage over former President Donald Trump in a head-to-head contest, while the margin shrinks to 49-47 with other candidates.

Both candidates win about 9-in-10 of their party’s own voters, while Harris holds a nine-point advantage with independents.

“[Harris] needs to make more inroads with older voters … It’s absolutely critical for her,” says Jeff Liszt, a partner with Democratic polling firm Impact Research, which conducted AARP’s bipartisan survey along with GOP polling firm Fabrizio Ward. “And at the same time, it’s absolutely critical for Trump to hold on to, and win some more of, those older voters.”

  • Voters 18-49: Harris 54-40% (+14)
  • Voters 50+: Trump 52-44% (+8)
    • 18-34: Harris 57-37% (+20)
    • 50-64: Trump 53-43% (+10)
    • Women 50+: 48-48% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Trump 57-40% (+17)
  • Gender
    • Women: Harris 57-38% (+19)
    • Men: Trump 56-40% (+16)
  • Location
    • Urban: Harris 55-39% (+16)
    • Suburban: Harris 53-43% (+10)
    • Rural: Trump 58-40% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Harris 55-40% (+15)
    • Non-College: Trump 51-45% (+6)

 

U.S. Senate

Sen. Bob Casey Jr., looking for reelection for his fourth term in Washington, has a 49-45% advantage over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

The findings revealed an age gap, as voters under 50 favor Casey, 53-40%, while those above 50 favor McCormick by a 5-45% count. Casey has strong support from voters 18-34 (+26) and with women (+19). McCormick also holds a +13 margin among men.

  • Voters 18-49: Casey 53-40% (+13)
  • Voters 50+: McCormick 50-45% (+5)
    • 18-34: Casey 59-33% (+26)
    • 50-64: McCormick 50-43% (+7)
    • Women 50+: Casey 48-45% (+3)
    • Men 50+: McCormick 55-42% (+13)
  • Gender
    • Women: Casey 56-37% (+19)
    • Men: McCormick 54-41% (+13)
  • Location
    • Urban: Casey 55-40% (+15)
    • Suburban: Casey 53-41% (+12)
    • Rural: McCormick 57-39% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Casey 56-40% (+16)
    • Non-College: McCormick 49-44% (+5)

 

Pennsylvania Attorney General

Democrat Eugene DePasquale moved past Republican Dave Sunday since the last AARP survey in April with a 47-44% advantage in the race to become the state’s top cop.

Sunday held a slender 44-43% edge in the spring poll.

Both Republicans and Democrats are voting for their party’s nominee by identical 77-point margins, while independents tilt toward DePasquale.

  • Voters 18-49: DePasquale 53-37% (+16)
  • Voters 50+: Sunday 49-42% (=7)
    • 18-34: DePasquale 56-32% (+24)
    • 50-64: Sunday 49-40% (+9)
    • Women 50+: 45-45% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Sunday 54-38% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: DePasquale 55-36% (+19)
    • Men: Sunday 52-38% (+14)
  • Location
    • Urban: DePasquale 56-34% (+22)
    • Suburban: DePasquale 49-42% (+7)
    • Rural: Sunday 54-37% (+17)
  • Education
    • College Degree: DePasquale 53-39% (+14)
    • Non-College: Sunday 47-43% (+4)

 

Pennsylvania State Treasurer

Incumbent Republican Stacy Garrity is locked in a tight contest with Democratic challenger Erin McClelland at 45-44% with 11% remaining undecided.

Independents are a toss-up group in this race.

  • Voters 18-49: McClelland 49-41% (+8)
  • Voters 50+: Garrity 48-40% (+8)
    • 18-34: McClelland 50-38% (+12)
    • 50-64: Garrity 48-39% (+9)
    • Women 50+: Garrity 45-43% (+2)
    • Men 50+: Garrity 53-37% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: McClelland 51-37% (+14)
    • Men: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Location
    • Urban: McClelland 54-36% (+18)
    • Suburban: McClelland 44-43% (+1)
    • Rural: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: McClelland 50-41% (+9)
    • Non-College: Garrity 47-40% (+7)

 

 

It’s not just the presidential race that is too close to call in Pennsylvania this fall.

An AARP-commissioned poll between September 17-24 showed that the Pennsylvania Attorney General and PA State Treasurer contests are also within the +/-3.5% margin of error, while the U.S. Senate race difference is just beyond that figure.

In a survey of 1,398 likely Pennsylvania voters, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 50-47% advantage over former President Donald Trump in a head-to-head contest, while the margin shrinks to 49-47 with other candidates.

Both candidates win about 9-in-10 of their party’s own voters, while Harris holds a nine-point advantage with independents.

“[Harris] needs to make more inroads with older voters … It’s absolutely critical for her,” says Jeff Liszt, a partner with Democratic polling firm Impact Research, which conducted AARP’s bipartisan survey along with GOP polling firm Fabrizio Ward. “And at the same time, it’s absolutely critical for Trump to hold on to, and win some more of, those older voters.”

  • Voters 18-49: Harris 54-40% (+14)
  • Voters 50+: Trump 52-44% (+8)
    • 18-34: Harris 57-37% (+20)
    • 50-64: Trump 53-43% (+10)
    • Women 50+: 48-48% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Trump 57-40% (+17)
  • Gender
    • Women: Harris 57-38% (+19)
    • Men: Trump 56-40% (+16)
  • Location
    • Urban: Harris 55-39% (+16)
    • Suburban: Harris 53-43% (+10)
    • Rural: Trump 58-40% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Harris 55-40% (+15)
    • Non-College: Trump 51-45% (+6)

 

U.S. Senate

Sen. Bob Casey Jr., looking for reelection for his fourth term in Washington, has a 49-45% advantage over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

The findings revealed an age gap, as voters under 50 favor Casey, 53-40%, while those above 50 favor McCormick by a 5-45% count. Casey has strong support from voters 18-34 (+26) and with women (+19). McCormick also holds a +13 margin among men.

  • Voters 18-49: Casey 53-40% (+13)
  • Voters 50+: McCormick 50-45% (+5)
    • 18-34: Casey 59-33% (+26)
    • 50-64: McCormick 50-43% (+7)
    • Women 50+: Casey 48-45% (+3)
    • Men 50+: McCormick 55-42% (+13)
  • Gender
    • Women: Casey 56-37% (+19)
    • Men: McCormick 54-41% (+13)
  • Location
    • Urban: Casey 55-40% (+15)
    • Suburban: Casey 53-41% (+12)
    • Rural: McCormick 57-39% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Casey 56-40% (+16)
    • Non-College: McCormick 49-44% (+5)

 

Pennsylvania Attorney General

Democrat Eugene DePasquale moved past Republican Dave Sunday since the last AARP survey in April with a 47-44% advantage in the race to become the state’s top cop.

Sunday held a slender 44-43% edge in the spring poll.

Both Republicans and Democrats are voting for their party’s nominee by identical 77-point margins, while independents tilt toward DePasquale.

  • Voters 18-49: DePasquale 53-37% (+16)
  • Voters 50+: Sunday 49-42% (=7)
    • 18-34: DePasquale 56-32% (+24)
    • 50-64: Sunday 49-40% (+9)
    • Women 50+: 45-45% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Sunday 54-38% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: DePasquale 55-36% (+19)
    • Men: Sunday 52-38% (+14)
  • Location
    • Urban: DePasquale 56-34% (+22)
    • Suburban: DePasquale 49-42% (+7)
    • Rural: Sunday 54-37% (+17)
  • Education
    • College Degree: DePasquale 53-39% (+14)
    • Non-College: Sunday 47-43% (+4)

 

Pennsylvania State Treasurer

Incumbent Republican Stacy Garrity is locked in a tight contest with Democratic challenger Erin McClelland at 45-44% with 11% remaining undecided.

Independents are a toss-up group in this race.

  • Voters 18-49: McClelland 49-41% (+8)
  • Voters 50+: Garrity 48-40% (+8)
    • 18-34: McClelland 50-38% (+12)
    • 50-64: Garrity 48-39% (+9)
    • Women 50+: Garrity 45-43% (+2)
    • Men 50+: Garrity 53-37% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: McClelland 51-37% (+14)
    • Men: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Location
    • Urban: McClelland 54-36% (+18)
    • Suburban: McClelland 44-43% (+1)
    • Rural: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: McClelland 50-41% (+9)
    • Non-College: Garrity 47-40% (+7)

 

 

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It’s not just the presidential race that is too close to call in Pennsylvania this fall.

An AARP-commissioned poll between September 17-24 showed that the Pennsylvania Attorney General and PA State Treasurer contests are also within the +/-3.5% margin of error, while the U.S. Senate race difference is just beyond that figure.

In a survey of 1,398 likely Pennsylvania voters, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 50-47% advantage over former President Donald Trump in a head-to-head contest, while the margin shrinks to 49-47 with other candidates.

Both candidates win about 9-in-10 of their party’s own voters, while Harris holds a nine-point advantage with independents.

“[Harris] needs to make more inroads with older voters … It’s absolutely critical for her,” says Jeff Liszt, a partner with Democratic polling firm Impact Research, which conducted AARP’s bipartisan survey along with GOP polling firm Fabrizio Ward. “And at the same time, it’s absolutely critical for Trump to hold on to, and win some more of, those older voters.”

  • Voters 18-49: Harris 54-40% (+14)
  • Voters 50+: Trump 52-44% (+8)
    • 18-34: Harris 57-37% (+20)
    • 50-64: Trump 53-43% (+10)
    • Women 50+: 48-48% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Trump 57-40% (+17)
  • Gender
    • Women: Harris 57-38% (+19)
    • Men: Trump 56-40% (+16)
  • Location
    • Urban: Harris 55-39% (+16)
    • Suburban: Harris 53-43% (+10)
    • Rural: Trump 58-40% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Harris 55-40% (+15)
    • Non-College: Trump 51-45% (+6)

 

U.S. Senate

Sen. Bob Casey Jr., looking for reelection for his fourth term in Washington, has a 49-45% advantage over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

The findings revealed an age gap, as voters under 50 favor Casey, 53-40%, while those above 50 favor McCormick by a 5-45% count. Casey has strong support from voters 18-34 (+26) and with women (+19). McCormick also holds a +13 margin among men.

  • Voters 18-49: Casey 53-40% (+13)
  • Voters 50+: McCormick 50-45% (+5)
    • 18-34: Casey 59-33% (+26)
    • 50-64: McCormick 50-43% (+7)
    • Women 50+: Casey 48-45% (+3)
    • Men 50+: McCormick 55-42% (+13)
  • Gender
    • Women: Casey 56-37% (+19)
    • Men: McCormick 54-41% (+13)
  • Location
    • Urban: Casey 55-40% (+15)
    • Suburban: Casey 53-41% (+12)
    • Rural: McCormick 57-39% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Casey 56-40% (+16)
    • Non-College: McCormick 49-44% (+5)

 

Pennsylvania Attorney General

Democrat Eugene DePasquale moved past Republican Dave Sunday since the last AARP survey in April with a 47-44% advantage in the race to become the state’s top cop.

Sunday held a slender 44-43% edge in the spring poll.

Both Republicans and Democrats are voting for their party’s nominee by identical 77-point margins, while independents tilt toward DePasquale.

  • Voters 18-49: DePasquale 53-37% (+16)
  • Voters 50+: Sunday 49-42% (=7)
    • 18-34: DePasquale 56-32% (+24)
    • 50-64: Sunday 49-40% (+9)
    • Women 50+: 45-45% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Sunday 54-38% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: DePasquale 55-36% (+19)
    • Men: Sunday 52-38% (+14)
  • Location
    • Urban: DePasquale 56-34% (+22)
    • Suburban: DePasquale 49-42% (+7)
    • Rural: Sunday 54-37% (+17)
  • Education
    • College Degree: DePasquale 53-39% (+14)
    • Non-College: Sunday 47-43% (+4)

 

Pennsylvania State Treasurer

Incumbent Republican Stacy Garrity is locked in a tight contest with Democratic challenger Erin McClelland at 45-44% with 11% remaining undecided.

Independents are a toss-up group in this race.

  • Voters 18-49: McClelland 49-41% (+8)
  • Voters 50+: Garrity 48-40% (+8)
    • 18-34: McClelland 50-38% (+12)
    • 50-64: Garrity 48-39% (+9)
    • Women 50+: Garrity 45-43% (+2)
    • Men 50+: Garrity 53-37% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: McClelland 51-37% (+14)
    • Men: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Location
    • Urban: McClelland 54-36% (+18)
    • Suburban: McClelland 44-43% (+1)
    • Rural: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: McClelland 50-41% (+9)
    • Non-College: Garrity 47-40% (+7)

 

 

It’s not just the presidential race that is too close to call in Pennsylvania this fall.

An AARP-commissioned poll between September 17-24 showed that the Pennsylvania Attorney General and PA State Treasurer contests are also within the +/-3.5% margin of error, while the U.S. Senate race difference is just beyond that figure.

In a survey of 1,398 likely Pennsylvania voters, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 50-47% advantage over former President Donald Trump in a head-to-head contest, while the margin shrinks to 49-47 with other candidates.

Both candidates win about 9-in-10 of their party’s own voters, while Harris holds a nine-point advantage with independents.

“[Harris] needs to make more inroads with older voters … It’s absolutely critical for her,” says Jeff Liszt, a partner with Democratic polling firm Impact Research, which conducted AARP’s bipartisan survey along with GOP polling firm Fabrizio Ward. “And at the same time, it’s absolutely critical for Trump to hold on to, and win some more of, those older voters.”

  • Voters 18-49: Harris 54-40% (+14)
  • Voters 50+: Trump 52-44% (+8)
    • 18-34: Harris 57-37% (+20)
    • 50-64: Trump 53-43% (+10)
    • Women 50+: 48-48% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Trump 57-40% (+17)
  • Gender
    • Women: Harris 57-38% (+19)
    • Men: Trump 56-40% (+16)
  • Location
    • Urban: Harris 55-39% (+16)
    • Suburban: Harris 53-43% (+10)
    • Rural: Trump 58-40% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Harris 55-40% (+15)
    • Non-College: Trump 51-45% (+6)

 

U.S. Senate

Sen. Bob Casey Jr., looking for reelection for his fourth term in Washington, has a 49-45% advantage over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

The findings revealed an age gap, as voters under 50 favor Casey, 53-40%, while those above 50 favor McCormick by a 5-45% count. Casey has strong support from voters 18-34 (+26) and with women (+19). McCormick also holds a +13 margin among men.

  • Voters 18-49: Casey 53-40% (+13)
  • Voters 50+: McCormick 50-45% (+5)
    • 18-34: Casey 59-33% (+26)
    • 50-64: McCormick 50-43% (+7)
    • Women 50+: Casey 48-45% (+3)
    • Men 50+: McCormick 55-42% (+13)
  • Gender
    • Women: Casey 56-37% (+19)
    • Men: McCormick 54-41% (+13)
  • Location
    • Urban: Casey 55-40% (+15)
    • Suburban: Casey 53-41% (+12)
    • Rural: McCormick 57-39% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: Casey 56-40% (+16)
    • Non-College: McCormick 49-44% (+5)

 

Pennsylvania Attorney General

Democrat Eugene DePasquale moved past Republican Dave Sunday since the last AARP survey in April with a 47-44% advantage in the race to become the state’s top cop.

Sunday held a slender 44-43% edge in the spring poll.

Both Republicans and Democrats are voting for their party’s nominee by identical 77-point margins, while independents tilt toward DePasquale.

  • Voters 18-49: DePasquale 53-37% (+16)
  • Voters 50+: Sunday 49-42% (=7)
    • 18-34: DePasquale 56-32% (+24)
    • 50-64: Sunday 49-40% (+9)
    • Women 50+: 45-45% (Even)
    • Men 50+: Sunday 54-38% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: DePasquale 55-36% (+19)
    • Men: Sunday 52-38% (+14)
  • Location
    • Urban: DePasquale 56-34% (+22)
    • Suburban: DePasquale 49-42% (+7)
    • Rural: Sunday 54-37% (+17)
  • Education
    • College Degree: DePasquale 53-39% (+14)
    • Non-College: Sunday 47-43% (+4)

 

Pennsylvania State Treasurer

Incumbent Republican Stacy Garrity is locked in a tight contest with Democratic challenger Erin McClelland at 45-44% with 11% remaining undecided.

Independents are a toss-up group in this race.

  • Voters 18-49: McClelland 49-41% (+8)
  • Voters 50+: Garrity 48-40% (+8)
    • 18-34: McClelland 50-38% (+12)
    • 50-64: Garrity 48-39% (+9)
    • Women 50+: Garrity 45-43% (+2)
    • Men 50+: Garrity 53-37% (+16)
  • Gender
    • Women: McClelland 51-37% (+14)
    • Men: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Location
    • Urban: McClelland 54-36% (+18)
    • Suburban: McClelland 44-43% (+1)
    • Rural: Garrity 54-36% (+18)
  • Education
    • College Degree: McClelland 50-41% (+9)
    • Non-College: Garrity 47-40% (+7)

 

 

  • Will tonight's U.S. Senate debate affect your decision?


    • No. I've already decided on how to cast my vote. (81%)
    • Yes. Anxious to hear from both candidates (19%)

    Total Voters: 27

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