The Races We’re Watching This Fall 1.0

Are You Ready to Vote in 2022?

We are now just 62 days away from the 2022 general election and as the campaigning heats up, we turn our attention to what we think are the five most closely-watched races in the Commonwealth.

 

Fetterman and Oz

U.S. Senate
John Fetterman (D) vs.
Mehmet Oz (R)
The marquee matchup of the 2022 general election could determine control of the U.S. Senate. Fetterman, the lieutenant governor of the Commonwealth, and Oz, the heart surgeon turned TV personality, could spend north of $261 million in ad buys.

Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat
Five Thirty Eight: Fetterman favored
Inside Elections: Toss-Up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Democrat

PoliticsPA Poll Average: Fetterman +9.1

  • Latest Poll (Susquehanna, Aug 22-29): Fetterman +5.0

 

Campaign Information

Fetterman:        Instagram    
Oz:      

 


 

Shapiro-Mastriano

Governor
Josh Shapiro (D) vs.
Doug Mastriano (R)

Observers note that this race could determine the future of reproductive rights in the Commonwealth, as well as the future of elections in the state. Shapiro, the Pennsylvania Attorney General, and Mastriano, the state senator from Franklin County, are on pace to spend more than $115 million in ad buys this cycle.

Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat
Five Thirty Eight: Shapiro favored
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Democrat

PoliticsPA Poll Average: Shapiro +7.7

  • Latest Poll (Emerson, Aug 22-23): Shapiro +3.0

 

Campaign Information

Shapiro:        Instagram    
Mastriano:        Instagram   

 


 

PA-07 Candidates

PA-07
Susan Wild* (D) vs.
Lisa Scheller (R)

This is a rematch of the 2020 election that saw Wild hold off Scheller, 52-48. The incumbent has a nearly $2 million advantage in fund raising, but the GOP is hopeful that the Lehigh Valley district is ready to turn red.

Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Five Thirty Eight: Scheller slightly favored
Inside Elections: Toss-Up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-Up

PoliticsPA Poll Average: Scheller +4.0

  • Latest Poll (RMG Research, July 31-Aug 5): Scheller +4.0

 

Campaign Information

Wild:    
Scheller:        Instagram

 


 

Cartwright-Bognet

PA-08
Matt Cartwright* (D) vs.
Jim Bognet (R)

This district in the northeastern corner of the state also features a rematch of their 2020 race that Cartwright won by four points. The incumbent holds a $2.2 million advantage in cash on hand entering the stretch, but Bognet has been endorsed by both former President Donald Trump and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy.

Cook Political Report: Toss-Up
Five Thirty Eight: Cartwright favored
Inside Elections: Toss-Up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-Up

PoliticsPA Poll Average: Cartwright +2.5

  • Latest Poll (GQR Research, Aug 2-9): Cartwright +6.0

 

Campaign Information

Cartwright:       Instagram
Bognet:         Instagram

 


 

Chris Deluzio-Jeremy Shaffer

PA-17
Chris Deluzio (D) vs.

Jeremy Shaffer (R)

Allegheny and Beaver Counties have an open House seat after the departure of Conor Lamb to run for the Senate. Deluzio, a voting right attorney and Iraq War veteran, squares off with Shaffer, a co-founder of a small business and former township commissioner.

Cook Political Report: Toss-Up
Five Thirty Eight: Deluzio favored
Inside Elections: Toss-Up
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-Up

PoliticsPA Poll Average: Deluzio +1.0

  • Latest Poll (Lake Research Partners, July 31-Aug 5): Deluzio +1.0

 

Campaign Information

Deluzio:        
Shaffer:        Instagram

3 Responses

  1. All Republicants and their voters supporters families friends are fascists racist Nazis mass murderers sedition treason narcissistic antiskool antisocial antihuman inhumane trash

  2. Bognet is a professional political hack. He’s probably going to run for the House in California if he loses to Cartwright. No Trump on the ballot Bognet will lose votes. Cartwright lucked out getting all of Monroe County in new District and running against Bognet.

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