Trafalgar: Tight 3-Way Race for GOP Senate Nod


The race for the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate grows tighter with each day.

A new Trafalgar Group poll released Sunday night shows that Mehmet OzKathy Barnette and Dave McCormick are within the margin of error against each other.

Oz leads the poll at 24.5 percent, while Barnette made a major move into the second position at 23.2 percent. McCormick fell back to third at 21.6 percent but with a margin of error of +/- 2.99 percent, the race is essentially even with a little more than a week remaining.

Jeff Bartos was fourth in the poll at 7.2 percent while Carla Sands (6.5%), Sean Gale (1.1%) and George Bochetto (0.8%) rounded out the field with 15.1 percent still saying they are undecided in a survey of 1,080 likely GOP voters conducted May 6-8.

Oz, the celebrity doctor, received just a 1.8 percent bump since the mid-April Trafalgar poll which was conducted prior to the endorsement of former president Donald Trump. McCormick, the former hedge fund CEO, rose 1.9 percent, while Barnette more than doubled her support from 11.2 to 23.2 percent.

The PoliticsPA average of polls in the race still indicates McCormick with a slight lead over Oz by an 0.5 percentage point margin (18.2 to 17.7).




May 8th, 2022 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Senate, Top Stories | 13 Comments

13 thoughts on “Trafalgar: Tight 3-Way Race for GOP Senate Nod”

  1. Chesco Centrist says:

    Dems really trying to gift the Republicans this Senate seat with Fetterman, and with faux tough-guy schtick and far left politics. But I don’t see any of these 3 gaining serious traction in the suburbs where PA elections are won and lost. Oz might have a fighting chance because he knows how to present himself on TV, but my going “Full MAGA”, he’ll alienating swing voters.

  2. theinspector says:

    Already voted for Kathy.

  3. Vaughn says:

    Sands and Bartos should bow out

  4. Josh says:

    Barnette’s trajectory keeps rising steeper, while Oz is almost flatlined and McCormick is going backwards. With 15% undecided, Barnette is probably going to win this race. Very refreshing.

    1. Joseph Gunnels says:

      Smells fishy to me! How does someone come out of nowhere and head right to the top?! This looks an awful lot like a planted ringer. You sure this isn’t a lefty? Oz needs to win in a blue state with a large number of independents. Oz can win in November the other two can’t.

  5. Republican Freeloader says:

    I am still going for the MAGA endorsed candidate. President Trump is NEVER wrong!
    Go Dr. Oz!!

    1. Victoria says:

      Barnette all the way. She was conceived during a rape and her mother didn’t abort. A black pro-life woman who has served in the military. She is going to win

      I voted for Trump but he is not always right

    2. Donna says:

      So wasn’t he wrong with Kemp, McConnel and Graham? Just saying.

  6. The Huckabeast says:

    Election night is going to be a nail biter. The rural counties are going to go for Mastriano, Daniels and Barnette. Will it be enough to knock off Barletta and Oz?

    1. Booty Sweat says:

      Those bases for the America First are locked in. Plus first time primary voters. Expect Daniels to appear this week like a Phoenix. Those are your 3 winners.

    2. Dr. Bob says:

      Doug, Teddy and Kathy have strong support in all PA counties; no one else came close to Doug having submitted 29K signatures.

  7. gulagpittsburgh says:

    Congrats GOP; you have a trifecta of asshole candidates.

    1. gulagpittsburgh says:

      fake post by coward

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