This is the feeling at least of Emily Schultheis of the National Journal, who wrote a preview of the nation landscape for gubernatorial elections this November.
She asserts that no one believed the Governor would be down this much in the polls by Labor Day while pointing out the most recent Franklin and Marshall poll. Schultheis contrasts Corbett’s difficulties to Ohio Gov. John Kasich who is experiencing a much easier time in his battle for re-election.
Chris Borick, a pollster for Muhlenberg College told the National Journal that he believes the gap between Corbett and Wolf comes down to public perception.
“[Corbett is] a known entity: He was attorney general, he’s been governor for three and a half years, he has established his public image and it’s not a good one,” Borick said. “For Corbett to, as an incumbent, change the race is going to be a challenge—and up to this point it’s seemed he is simply going to be unable to do that.”
Following the F&M poll, a Corbet internal memo was distributed presenting the incumbent as a worthy challenger, only down 7 points. Furthermore, Corbett campaign manager, Mike Barley took to twitter Thursday, denouncing the “junk poll.”
Nevertheless, the incumbent still remains behind and the longer that is the case the steeper the climb will be. The National Journal posited that the Governor’s poor numbers could lead to the RGA withdrawing their support. Given the importance of PA to the national landscape and Gov. Corbett’s relationship with RGA Chair Chris Christie that would seem to be an unlikely event.