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2014 PoliticsPA Primary Pool Results


PoliticsPA and the Law Office of Adam Bonin asked you for your predictions in the 2014 primary – and 360 of you responded.

Here’s the Top 10:

Name Total Points Tiebreaker: (LT-Gov winner %)
Joey Samuel 30 29
Ryan O’Donnell 28 33
Will Sharry 28 31
Daniel Livingston 28 30
J.J. Balaban 28 27
Cheryl 26 41
Nick 26 40
CAL Shields 26 36
Keith Bierly 26 36
Michael Keramidas 26 34

Your predictions:

In the race for the Democratic nomination for governor, 93% of you predicted Wolf, 3% to each McCord and Schwartz; 0% to McGinty. 69% of you chose Schwartz as the runner-up.

For Lt. Gov., 69% picked the winner – Mike Stack; 16% for Critz, 12% for Koplinski; and 2% for each Brandon Neuman and Mark Smith. You were right on the runner-up as well; 50% chose Critz for second place.

But after statewide races, your predictions became slightly less accurate.

55% chose Shaughnessy Naughton to beat Kevin Strouse in the PA-8 Democratic primary. Wrong. Strouse won with 51% of the vote.

90% of you chose Rep. Bill Shuster to retain the Republican nomination in PA-9, and you were right.

Right again in PA-12, 76% of you chose Erin McClelland to beat John Hugya. She won by a huge margin yesterday.

Responses were split on the contentious, wide battle battle for the Democratic nomination in PA-13. 33% of you chose the winner – State Rep. Brendan Boyle, but it was close in the pool. Leach took 31%; Margolies took 19% and Arkoosh took 16%. In reality, it was nearly a blowout for Boyle. You were correct in guessing the runner-up, Marjorie Margolies. 28% selected her.

In SD-2, you were correct again selecting winner Sen. Tina Tartaglione. 81% chose her.

But you were wrong in SD-4, 68% of responses said that indicted Senator Leanna Washington would win reelection. She fell to challenger Art Haywood.

And wrong again in HD-36, 65% chose Erin Molchany. She lost to Harry Readshaw.

In the open race for HD-74, 54% of respondents chose winner Josh Maxwell over Josh Young.

In HD-164, Margo Davidson won reelection, just as 67% of respondents said she would.

Rep. Tallman fought off primary challenger Brian Gembusia; 89% of you guessed he would.

Pam Delissio bested challenger Dave Henderson and 86% of entries predicted that correctly.

One of the worst predictions came in HD-197, where 59% said that JP Miranda would win reelection, despite legal investigation into a ghost employee in his office. Leslie Acosta actually won that Democratic primary, despite falling to third in our predictive pool.

Rep. Mark Cohen narrowly fought off a primary challenge from Jared Solomon in HD-202, and 64% of you expected him to.

Finally, voters of Philadelphia rejected a change to the “resign to run” rule that prohibits city councilmen and women from running for mayor before they resign their current seat. 60% of you thought it would pass – wrong!

Thanks to everyone who entered and congratulations to those who won!

  • Does the NYC Verdict Make You More or Less Likely to Vote For Trump in 2024?

    • Less Likely (36%)
    • More Likely (34%)
    • Makes No Difference (30%)

    Total Voters: 112

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