A lot has changed since the Cook Political Report issued their last electoral college map projection on May 4th.
Donald Trump has wrapped up the GOP nomination and drawn even with Hillary Clinton in national polls.
Nonetheless, Cook is not moving many states. In fact, they’re only moving one state. Michigan has gone from “Likely Democratic” to “Lean Democratic”.
Pennsylvania did not change at all with the commonwealth staying in the “Lean Democratic” column.
As a result, the Democrats start with 304 electoral votes against the GOP’s 190 with 44 toss-up electoral votes. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.
The full breakdown is included below:
Solid Democratic: California (55 electoral votes); Connecticut (7); Delaware (3); District of Columbia (3); Hawaii (4); Illinois (20); Maine-AL* (2); Maine-01* (1); Maryland (10); Massachusetts (11); New Mexico (5); New Jersey (14); New York (29); Oregon (7); Rhode Island (4); Vermont (3); Washington (12) – 190 total electoral votes
Likely Democratic: Maine-02* (1); Minnesota (10) – 11 total electoral votes
Lean Democratic: Colorado (9); Florida (29); Michigan (16); Nevada (6); Pennsylvania (20); Virginia (13); Wisconsin (10) – 103 total electoral votes
Toss-Up: Iowa (6); Nebraska-02* (1); New Hampshire (4); North Carolina (15); Ohio (18) – 44 total electoral votes
Lean Republican: Arizona (11); Georgia (16) – 27 total electoral votes
Likely Republican: Indiana (11); Missouri (10) – 21 total electoral votes
Solid Republican: Alabama (9); Alaska (3); Arkansas (6); Idaho (4); Kansas (6); Kentucky (8); Louisiana (8); Mississippi (6); Montana (3); Nebraska-AL* (2); Nebraska-01* (1); Nebraska-03* (1); North Dakota (3); Oklahoma (7); South Carolina (9); South Dakota (3); Tennessee (11); Texas (38); Utah (6); West Virginia (5); Wyoming (3) – 142 total electoral votes
*Maine and Nebraska have unique allocation systems. Maine has four electoral votes. The statewide winner is awarded two while the winner its two congressional districts also scores one. Nebraska has five electoral votes. The statewide winner is awarded two while the winner of its three congressional districts also scores one.
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7 Responses
Trumpy will win PA
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https://tylerz21.shutterfly.com/42
Oh, yes, I saw that report about Gucimer. It was by the same guy who reported that Putin is going to re-animate Vince Foster’s corpse so he can tell us all how the Clintons secretly had him killed. Riveting stuff.
Dear Mr. I’d rather be fishing – It’s not your Comrade Vlad who hacked the email, but rather the hacking legend Gucimer. Gucimer only exploited the unsecured server that the doofus Hillary setup that allowed him to gain full access to top secret State department emails. Gucimer, forwarded the emails to Russian intelligence and have been leaked already in part on the web. The bulk of the email are expected to be dumped later this Spring or Summer and will include the deleted emails that Hillary wiped from her server in order to cover her tracks. This is extremely important to have these exposed to show the felonious and criminal acts she hid by deleting and wiping her server. It’s not Vlad who is saving the country nor Trump. It is exposing a criminal felon named Hillary Clinton.
@Tim- Why do Conservatives pleasure themselves to the thought of Putin? Putin and Russia are going to sweep in and hand Trump the election and save us… Riiiiiiight
Seniors will turn the election to Democrats since the PA General Assembly continues to lay the burden of school and property taxes on them. The PA Republicans are acting like tea party members of Congress.
It’s only long way to go until November. It’s only May. Wait until Russia releases Hillary’s acked State department e-mails, then you will see the fur fly! She will be heading for the fallout shelter with her millions in bribe money in tow. Perhaps she’s looking at countries without extradition treaties with the US right now. She is a felon in my opinion. She is unfit to be the President in my opinion. The fur will fly. Just wait. Trump will be the next President. It’s in the Bible.[put that in to really offend the godless libs!]