Yesterday, former Mayor of New York Michael Bloomberg announced that he would not be running for President.
This news shouldn’t have been too surprising, after all Bloomberg has been flirting with a White House campaign for a decade. It appears, however, that this time the result was very nearly different.
According to Maggie Haberman and Alexander Burns of the New York Times, Bloomberg produced an introductory ad and conducted polls in a number of states.
Bloomberg’s team tested a three-way race between Bloomberg and GOP and Democratic front-runners Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
They also did one with Bernie Sanders in place of Clinton.
Altogether, twenty-two states were polled, including Pennsylvania. According to these surveys, both Clinton and Sanders would win the Keystone State.
But are those surveys accurate? After all, the Bloomberg-Sanders-Trump map shows the New Yorker taking Tennessee, the buckle of the Bible Belt.
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver was among those skeptics, so he ran the numbers on what a Bloomberg-Clinton-Trump contest may have potentially looked like.
His scenario showed PA going red.
Silver’s model projects that Bloomberg would take 31.8%, leaving Donald Trump with 35.4% ahead of Hillary Clinton’s 32.8%.
So when it comes to the question of whether Pennsylvania is still a purple state or now safely a blue one, the jury is still out.