Nate Silver: PA Now Part of Clinton’s Firewall
That’s the conclusion FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver comes to in his latest election update, which is titled “Polls Show Pennsylvania Back in Clinton’s Firewall”.
“The best news for Clinton is in Pennsylvania, where a variety of post-convention surveys, including the two released on Tuesday, show her ahead by around 9 percentage points,” he writes. “Our polls-only model now projects Clinton to win Pennsylvania by 8.5 percentage points, making it just a pinch bluer than the national average.”
In fact, the contest for Kansas is closer than the battle for Pennsylvania at this moment.
Silver goes on to note that if PA is indeed in Clinton’s column right now, it would be a significant game-changer. This is because of other states, principally Virginia and Colorado, where Hillary also seems to be pulling away.
These three states would put Clinton at 269 electoral votes, just one shy of the majority needed to win the White House.