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PA House Preview: North by Northwest

PA State House map

We begin our series on the candidates for the Pennsylvania State House with a look at the northwest corner of the Keystone State.

Races to Watch (2)

HD3: Ryan Bizzarro* (D) vs. Joseph Kujawa (R)

Bizzarro has served in Harrisburg since 2013 and will face Kujawa, former Millcreek Township supervisor. Bizzarro has a large cash advantage with $211,000 on hand to just under $3,500 for his opponent after the primaries.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: D+4.2


HD7: Tim McGonigle (D) vs. Parke Wentling (R)

Wentling is a state representative for the 17th District who was redrawn. He faces McGonigle, a Mercer County commissioner.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: R+5.2


Other Contested Seats (5)

HD1: Patrick Harkins* (D) vs. Michael Thomas (L)

Harkins has served in Harrisburg since 2007 and will square off against Thomas, a private-sector intelligence analyst.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: D+32


HD2: Bob Merski* (D) vs. Michael Pace (R)

Merski looks for his third term in Harrisburg against Pace, a committee person representing Summit.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: D+15


HD4: Chelsea Oliver (D) vs. Jake Banta (R)

Banta, a national recording artist, defeated five other opponents in the GOP primary with 42%, while Oliver, a former Corry City Council member, ran unopposed . The pair are vying to replace retiring Curt Sonney.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: R+17


HD6: Brad Roae* (R) vs. Nerissa Galt (D)

Roae has served in Harrisburg since 2007 and will face Galt, a quality engineer for an aerospace electronics firm.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: R+27


HD75: Mike Armanini* (R) vs. Erica Vogt (D)

Armanini looks for his second term in Harrisburg against Vogt, a teacher who won a spot on the ballot through a write-in campaign.

Dave’s Redistricting Partisan Lean: R+38


Running Unopposed (9)

HD8: Aaron Bernstine (R-Lawrence/Beaver)

Bernstine is the state representative for the 10th District but was redrawn.

HD11: Marci Mustello* (R-Butler)

HD17: Tim Bonner (R-Mercer/Butler)

Bonner is the state representative for the 8th District but was redrawn.

HD63: Donna Oberlander* (R-Clarion/Armstrong/Forest)

HD64: Lee James* (R-Venango/Butler)

HD65: Kathy Rapp* (R-Warren/Crawford/Forest)

HD66: Brian Smith* (R-Jefferson/Indiana)

HD67: Martin Causer* (R-McKean/Cameron/Potter)

HD73: Dallas Kephart (R)


7 Responses

  1. The Democratic Gerrymandered map doesn’t map for a lot of competitive districts. They have successfully killed democracy for their own political gain.

    1. Is that why 9 Republicans are uncontested and three that are have Republican leanings of over 15+? So Democrats can gain politically?

      1. It’s one part of the state, so your count right now doesn’t mean much. Wait until you see places like the SE that come in huge for Democrats. Overall, Democrats gerrymandered big time.

      2. Also, yes – gerrymandering 101. You pack your opponents into districts that favor them in a big way. You “pack” then in there so they are wasting their votes. You then “crack” up your voters so you just win over 50% and don’t waste any votes.

  2. Interesting. Lots of lopsided districts in terms of party affiliation. Close ones were at least competitive. I’m not certain so many lopsided districts is good.


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