A newly released internal poll from GOP candidate Jim Bognet shows him with a narrow lead over Rep. Matt Cartwright (D-Lackawanna) in the race for the 8th Congressional District.
The survey commissioned by the GOP challenger’s campaign and conducted by Cygnal shows Bognet leading Cartwright by 1 point, 46-to-45. According to the New York Post, the polling interviewed 400 likely voters from June 23-25 and has a ± 4.7% margin of error.
The specific poll showing the matchup between Bognet and Cartwright was first reported by the Washington Free Beacon.
The analysts at FiveThirtyEight give the pollster an overall B+ grade.
The memo released from the Bognet campaign compared these results with internal polling conducted by the Tarrance Group in July 2020, which showed Cartwright leading Bognet by 9 points at that point in the Democratic incumbent’s previous reelection bid.
Cartwright bested Bognet by 3.5 points in 2020.
PoliticsPA is seeking comment from the Cartwright campaign on this poll.
In addition to the head-to-head matchup between Bognet and Cartwright, the internal poll from the GOP challengers campaign shows that President Joe Biden’s favorability ratings in the Northeast Pa district have dropped over the past 2 years.
58% of voters in the district have an unfavorable view of Biden, while 41% have a favorable opinion of the 46th president. Biden received 48% of the vote in these boundaries in 2020.
The memo from the Bognet campaign shows that in July 2020, 51% of likely voters in the district had a favorable view of Biden, while 46% had an unfavorable view of the Scranton-native.
The memo from the Bognet campaign claims that Biden’s drop in popularity in the district “isn’t just a problem for Joe Biden,” but adding that the president has “dragged the entire Democratic Party down with him.”