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Marist Poll: Shapiro +13, Fetterman +10

John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro

The latest Marist Poll paints a picture with the Democratic statewide candidates with double-digit leads over the Republican opponents.

The survey of 1,242 registered voters showed Josh Shapiro with a 13-point advantage over Doug Mastriano in the governor’s race, 53-40.

A plurality of Pennsylvanians (47 percent) has a favorable view of Shapiro while a similar plurality (45%) has an unfavorable view of Mastriano. About one in four adults say they have never heard of or are unsure how to rate these candidates.

The GOP candidate drew his strongest support from the central portion of the Keystone State, leading 52-44. Mastriano also registered strong numbers among non-college educated whites, 53-40.

Shapiro, the PA Attorney General, showed strength in Philadelphia, 74-17, and the Philly suburbs, 58-35. He also had strong support among college-educated white women, 71-26.

The PoliticsPA average of all polls shows Shapiro with a lead of 8.7 percentage points, while the five most recent surveys give him a +8.9 point advantage. It is the fifth time in the last seven polls that the Democrat has crossed the 50-percent threshold.

The respondents also gave John Fetterman a 10-point margin over Mehmet Oz in the chase for the U.S. Senate seat, 51-41. The Democrat’s advantage did shrink to seven points among those who indicated they definitely plan to vote.

It is notable that the current lieutenant governor leads the celebrity doctor among independents by a 55-33 count with 11 percent still undecided.

Similarly to the gubernatorial poll, the Democrat drew strong numbers from Philly (73-14) and its suburbs (58-38), while the GOP candidate led the central region (54-42).

Non-college graduates offered more support for Oz (52-39), while those with a degree favored Fetterman (62-35).

The PoliticsPA average of all polls continues to show Fetterman with a lead of 8.3 percentage points, while the most recent five surveys give the former mayor of Braddock at 4.3-point surplus. In the month of September, the Democrat has crossed the 50-percent mark three times, while Oz’s high water mark is 47 percent.

This survey of 1,356 Pennsylvania adults was conducted September 19th through September 22nd, 2022 by the Marist Poll. There are 1,242 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.5 percentage points. There are 1,043 registered voters who definitely plan to vote in November’s election. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.8 percentage points.

3 Responses

  1. Recent polls are very clear, Ding Dong Doug is going down. Shapiro is polling consistently over 50% and Mastriano is disliked by 45% of the respondents. He has been going the wrong direction all summer. But God bless him, he’s still holding small group meet and greets all over the rural areas with his fellow Trumpers. Honestly, I’m the rural areas, the new signs going up are for Shapiro. The Mastriano signs are ones that have been up over a year and usually are beside “Trump Win the Election” signs.

  2. I always thought Atty Gen Shapiro energized the Democratic ticket. I know Sen Mastriano is completely incompetent in being a statewide candidate but Atty Gen Shapiro is a force onto himself. Great poll results.

    1. All I have to say is God Bless our poor country with these crazy liberals making us look like fools. I think common sense is completely gone and anyone that runs their campaign on killing babies is part of the problem. We have to get back to being for family values or we are lost. If what we have seen in the past two years is what people are going to vote for, our country is lost. There is no United States of America anymore. Crime, illegal immigrants being flown all over the country by the Biden administration, inflation, and no food on shelves in grocery stores – is this what people actually want for our future?
      Eggs are $6.00 a dozen, heating and gas are off the charts, stock market crashing – I just don’t get it.


  • Does the NYC Verdict Make You More or Less Likely to Vote For Trump in 2024?

    • Less Likely (36%)
    • More Likely (34%)
    • Makes No Difference (30%)

    Total Voters: 112

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