The same hasn’t been true of the primary contests where only one, the 2008 contest between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, was competitive in any way.
So considering that the PA primary is scheduled for April 26th next year, it’s an open question whether our votes will matter.
Clinton is in a much better position eight years later on the Democratic side, but the Republican primary is so unpredictable that pundits are wondering if Pennsylvania will once more have a say in who one or both of the nominees will be.
For the purposes of this question we’ll describe a competitive primary as one where the winner is not obvious beforehand (it doesn’t count if Lindsey Graham is still hanging around for instance).
Will Pennsylvania’s 2016 Presidential Primaries Be Competitive?
- Yes, but only the Republican contest. (55%)
- No, neither of them will. (29%)
- Yes, both of them will. (14%)
- Yes, but only the Democratic contest. (2%)