Two New Polls Show Senate Race Tightening
Surveys from InsiderAdvantage and Phillips Academy put Oz within MOE
September 26, 2022
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Surveys from InsiderAdvantage and Phillips Academy put Oz within MOE
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Two polls were released from very different groups on Monday but they agreed on one thing – the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania is getting tighter.
A InsiderAdvantage/Fox 29 News showed Democrat John Fetterman with a three-point advantage over Republican Mehmet Oz, 45-42%, while Libertarian candidate Erik Gerhardt polled at 2%.
A Phillips Academy poll was closer than that, giving Fetterman, the PA lieutenant governor, a two-point edge over Oz, the celebrity doctor, 46.5 to 44.5%. No other candidates were provided by Phillips.
The InsiderAdvantage poll surveyed 550 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 4.2% – putting the Oz within the margin of error (MOE).
The Phillips Academy poll – run by students at Phillips Academy in Andover, Mass., one of the nation’s most prestigious private high schools – surveyed 759 registered voters with a MOE of 3.6 – also placing Oz within the margin.
The PoliticsPA average of 19 different polls since mid-June still shows Fetterman with a sizable 8.3 percentage point lead. The average of the five most recent polls places the former mayor of Braddock with just a 3.3 point edge.
InsiderAdvantage chairman Matt Towery says the results indicate two very different contests heading into their final weeks.
“The U.S. Senate race is within the survey’s margin of error, suggesting a tight race. Senior voters and women favor Fetterman by more than 10 points, while men and voters under the age of 65 more likely to vote for Oz. Voters who describe themselves as independent split evenly between the two major candidates. The percent of undecided voters remains relatively high, and the percent of undecided independent voters is usually high at 22%” he said.
According to the Phillips cross tabs, Fetterman is leading heavily among female voters (49%), voters with college degrees (49.3%), as well as younger voters (52.6%), according to the Andover numbers. Oz leads among male voters (51.0%), as well among voters with an annual household income greater than $50,000 a year ($50-100k: 48.1%, $100k+: 49.2%).
Both polls showed a higher-than-usual undecided total with InsiderAdvantage at 8.0% and Andover at 8.9%.
Two polls were released from very different groups on Monday but they agreed on one thing – the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania is getting tighter.
A InsiderAdvantage/Fox 29 News showed Democrat John Fetterman with a three-point advantage over Republican Mehmet Oz, 45-42%, while Libertarian candidate Erik Gerhardt polled at 2%.
A Phillips Academy poll was closer than that, giving Fetterman, the PA lieutenant governor, a two-point edge over Oz, the celebrity doctor, 46.5 to 44.5%. No other candidates were provided by Phillips.
The InsiderAdvantage poll surveyed 550 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 4.2% – putting the Oz within the margin of error (MOE).
The Phillips Academy poll – run by students at Phillips Academy in Andover, Mass., one of the nation’s most prestigious private high schools – surveyed 759 registered voters with a MOE of 3.6 – also placing Oz within the margin.
The PoliticsPA average of 19 different polls since mid-June still shows Fetterman with a sizable 8.3 percentage point lead. The average of the five most recent polls places the former mayor of Braddock with just a 3.3 point edge.
InsiderAdvantage chairman Matt Towery says the results indicate two very different contests heading into their final weeks.
“The U.S. Senate race is within the survey’s margin of error, suggesting a tight race. Senior voters and women favor Fetterman by more than 10 points, while men and voters under the age of 65 more likely to vote for Oz. Voters who describe themselves as independent split evenly between the two major candidates. The percent of undecided voters remains relatively high, and the percent of undecided independent voters is usually high at 22%” he said.
According to the Phillips cross tabs, Fetterman is leading heavily among female voters (49%), voters with college degrees (49.3%), as well as younger voters (52.6%), according to the Andover numbers. Oz leads among male voters (51.0%), as well among voters with an annual household income greater than $50,000 a year ($50-100k: 48.1%, $100k+: 49.2%).
Both polls showed a higher-than-usual undecided total with InsiderAdvantage at 8.0% and Andover at 8.9%.
Two polls were released from very different groups on Monday but they agreed on one thing – the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania is getting tighter.
A InsiderAdvantage/Fox 29 News showed Democrat John Fetterman with a three-point advantage over Republican Mehmet Oz, 45-42%, while Libertarian candidate Erik Gerhardt polled at 2%.
A Phillips Academy poll was closer than that, giving Fetterman, the PA lieutenant governor, a two-point edge over Oz, the celebrity doctor, 46.5 to 44.5%. No other candidates were provided by Phillips.
The InsiderAdvantage poll surveyed 550 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 4.2% – putting the Oz within the margin of error (MOE).
The Phillips Academy poll – run by students at Phillips Academy in Andover, Mass., one of the nation’s most prestigious private high schools – surveyed 759 registered voters with a MOE of 3.6 – also placing Oz within the margin.
The PoliticsPA average of 19 different polls since mid-June still shows Fetterman with a sizable 8.3 percentage point lead. The average of the five most recent polls places the former mayor of Braddock with just a 3.3 point edge.
InsiderAdvantage chairman Matt Towery says the results indicate two very different contests heading into their final weeks.
“The U.S. Senate race is within the survey’s margin of error, suggesting a tight race. Senior voters and women favor Fetterman by more than 10 points, while men and voters under the age of 65 more likely to vote for Oz. Voters who describe themselves as independent split evenly between the two major candidates. The percent of undecided voters remains relatively high, and the percent of undecided independent voters is usually high at 22%” he said.
According to the Phillips cross tabs, Fetterman is leading heavily among female voters (49%), voters with college degrees (49.3%), as well as younger voters (52.6%), according to the Andover numbers. Oz leads among male voters (51.0%), as well among voters with an annual household income greater than $50,000 a year ($50-100k: 48.1%, $100k+: 49.2%).
Both polls showed a higher-than-usual undecided total with InsiderAdvantage at 8.0% and Andover at 8.9%.
Two polls were released from very different groups on Monday but they agreed on one thing – the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania is getting tighter.
A InsiderAdvantage/Fox 29 News showed Democrat John Fetterman with a three-point advantage over Republican Mehmet Oz, 45-42%, while Libertarian candidate Erik Gerhardt polled at 2%.
A Phillips Academy poll was closer than that, giving Fetterman, the PA lieutenant governor, a two-point edge over Oz, the celebrity doctor, 46.5 to 44.5%. No other candidates were provided by Phillips.
The InsiderAdvantage poll surveyed 550 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 4.2% – putting the Oz within the margin of error (MOE).
The Phillips Academy poll – run by students at Phillips Academy in Andover, Mass., one of the nation’s most prestigious private high schools – surveyed 759 registered voters with a MOE of 3.6 – also placing Oz within the margin.
The PoliticsPA average of 19 different polls since mid-June still shows Fetterman with a sizable 8.3 percentage point lead. The average of the five most recent polls places the former mayor of Braddock with just a 3.3 point edge.
InsiderAdvantage chairman Matt Towery says the results indicate two very different contests heading into their final weeks.
“The U.S. Senate race is within the survey’s margin of error, suggesting a tight race. Senior voters and women favor Fetterman by more than 10 points, while men and voters under the age of 65 more likely to vote for Oz. Voters who describe themselves as independent split evenly between the two major candidates. The percent of undecided voters remains relatively high, and the percent of undecided independent voters is usually high at 22%” he said.
According to the Phillips cross tabs, Fetterman is leading heavily among female voters (49%), voters with college degrees (49.3%), as well as younger voters (52.6%), according to the Andover numbers. Oz leads among male voters (51.0%), as well among voters with an annual household income greater than $50,000 a year ($50-100k: 48.1%, $100k+: 49.2%).
Both polls showed a higher-than-usual undecided total with InsiderAdvantage at 8.0% and Andover at 8.9%.
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