FiveThirtyEight Grades Pennsylvania’s Pollsters
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight website has released their 2016 edition of pollster ratings.
Just like two years ago, a number of PA based firms were included.
Franklin & Marshall College came in second with a B+. Eighteen surveys were included that had a success rate of 94% and a MRB of R+0.4.
There was a three-way tie for third. The particulars of which are included below:
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. – 29 polls, 79%, B, D+0.1
Temple University – 6 polls, 100%, B, R+0.4
Philadelphia Inquirer – 4 polls, 100%, B, R+0.3
Harper Polling earned a B-. Their nine polls had a 100% success rate and a D+0.3 bias. West Chester University got a C+, and correctly predicted all races in their seven surveys. They had a D+0.2 bias.
Millersville University came in last again, although their grade improved to a D. They recorded an 80% success rate on five polls and a R+1.5 mean-reverted bias.