The race in the 1st Congressional District slightly moves in the incumbent’s favor, according to the latest ratings from the analysis at Inside Elections.
Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick’s (R-Bucks) reelection bid against Democratic challenger Christina Finello has shifted from Tilt Republican to Leans Republican, in the latest ratings update on October 1.
Nathan Gonzales writes that “despite President Donald Trump’s struggles at the top of the ticket,” that Fitzpatrick has “maintained a significant edge” in the suburban Philadelphia district. He added that Fitzpatrick’s profile “remains strong” while Finello is “still largely unknown” in a district that Sec. Hillary Clinton narrowly carried in 2016.
However, Gonzales cites recent polling that has shown Trump struggling in the Philadelphia suburbs, which could hurt Fitzpatrick’s reelection chances.
“Democrats are going to have to decide if they have enough money to go in and try to buy the seat or just hope Biden crushes it at the top of the ballot and drags Finello across the line,” Gonzales writes. “To put it another way, if Biden is indeed up 59-31 percent in the Philadelphia suburbs (as he was in the recent ABC News/Washington Post poll), Fitzpatrick could still lose.”
Fitzpatrick’s race is the second tightest congressional race in the state, according to Inside Elections. The lone race in the state that is currently rated as closer is Rep. Scott Perry’s (R-York) reelection bid in the 10th Congressional District, which is placed in the “Tilt Republican” column.