Inside Elections moved the district from ‘likely Republican’ to ‘leans Republican’ citing Costello’s challengers and the Presidential results from 2016.
“The congressman cruised to re-election in 2016 even though Trump lost his district at the top of the ballot. But Democrats are enthusiastic about retired Air Force veteran Chrissy Houlahan, an executive of the And1 athletic wear company,” Inside Elections wrote.
Costello currently holds a large cash advantage over Houlahan, having $897,000 cash on hand compared to Houlahan’s $383,000.
Costello’s seat was ranked as the most vulnerable in Pennsylvania in PoliticsPA’s Congressional Vulnerability Rankings, and was shifted to ‘leans Republican’ by Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report.
The race has been called a bellwether by the NRCC Chairman Steve Stivers earlier this year, and will likely see lots of national attention as 2018 gets closer.